Il Bilancio della Russia per il 2026: costruito per la guerra, non per la pace

With a completely disinterested Trump, Russia will take Ukraine eventually.

It kills me to say it..but it’s becoming a reality. The prospects for Ukraine are looking very dim.

Putin will not sign any ‘peace’ document. There’s not a chance.

There is simply no document he will sign unless it is the surrender of Ukraines sovereignty in all but name…that is the reality.

Neither NATO nor Europe has the will to do what’s needed. They will not come to Ukraines aid if it should fall.

Putin played his hand perfectly this year. He knew Trump would lose patience and the will to do what’s right for Ukraine.
Putin knows Trump dislikes the EU.

Trump will force Ukraine to accept everything Putin wants.

But yet, Putin will try and take Ukraine in its entirety if he is not allowed rig elections.

These are dark times. Zelensky will be humiliated all over again tomorrow.

Given that a peace plan is far from being concluded,the war in Ukraine will not end in 2026.

**Russia’s 2026 spending plan exposes a country fully committed to prolonged war.**

Russia has approved its federal **budget for 2026**, triggering a wave of discussion about the scale of its militarisation. The figures look unprecedented not only for modern Russia but also in comparison with specific estimates from the late Soviet period.

In this analysis, we explain **what these numbers actually mean, what can be verified and how the Kremlin uses the budget as a political and economic tool to sustain a long war.**

The budget reflects a clear shift: Russia has moved its entire economy onto wartime rails and the 2026 spending plan signals not peace or stability, but long-term consolidation of war, one that the Kremlin intends to continue regardless of the economic cost or the social degradation of the whole country.

# A budget built for prolonging the war, not stopping it

[Reuters’ analysis](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-defence-spending-set-fall-slightly-2026-draft-budget-shows-2025-09-29/), published on September 29, 2025, examined the draft of Russia’s 2026 budget.

Even the draft showed that the country remains strongly committed to a wartime financial stance: total defence and security spending will still amount **to 16.8 trillion roubles – approximately 38% of all federal spending.** Reuters highlights that 84% of defence spending is classified, meaning the real cost of the war is likely far higher.

Sources familiar with the budget told Reuters that the **Kremlin can increase military funding at any moment and that actual wartime expenditures routinely exceed official targets and are concealed within other categories.** To sustain this level of spending, Russia’s Finance Ministry has proposed raising VAT to 22% in 2026 specifically to fund military needs and limit the budget deficit. Taken together, these elements show that Russia’s 2026 budget keeps the country on a war footing, with the flexibility and secrecy to escalate spending as needed.

As of December 2025, Russia’s newly signed 2026 federal budget makes clear that the Kremlin is preparing for a long war, not for peace.**Nearly 40% of all federal spending** is allocated to defence and security – an unprecedented level in modern Russian history. At the same time, pro-Kremlin media highlight projected revenues of **40.3 trillion rubles (about $492 billion), a claimed 10% increase over 2025,** this headline figure masks serious structural weaknesses.

 In practice, it is Russia’s population that will pay for sustaining the war.

# A long-term trend: military spending before the 2026 shift

To understand the significance of these numbers, they must be viewed in comparison.

As of April 28, 2025, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute ([SIPRI](https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2025/unprecedented-rise-global-military-expenditure-european-and-middle-east-spending-surges)), Russia was the principal driver behind Europe’s sharp rise in military spending in 2024. With the war in Ukraine entering its third year, defence spending increased across almost the entire continent, pushing Europe’s total military expenditure above levels last seen at the end of the Cold War. All European countries increased their military budgets in 2024 except Malta, but Russia still stood out.

**Moscow spent an estimated $149 billion on its military, a 38% increase from the previous (2023) year and twice its 2015 level.** This amounted to 7.1% of Russia’s GDP and 19% of all federal spending.

Russia needs to be completely dismantled as a state in the same way Nazi Germany was

And Europe budget???? Ahahahahha

I’m no economist and don’t understand how Russia can benefit despite losing their main market and a million lives. But I’ll say this 

It’s beyond frustrating to see Russians embrace a stupid war, while West Europeans try and half ass their support for a good cause. Meanwhile, America tries to flip sides as if it’s just a real estate deal. There are Ukrainian lives and vital social norms at stake.