Il partito in carica mostra nuovi numeri nei sondaggi: le elezioni parlamentari in Armenia prendono forma

> With respect to vote intention, the first set of results, without including the directional leaning of non-committed voters, shows plurality dominance by Civil Contract at 33.6%, an increase of 7.5% from our previous poll, clearly indicating positive momentum for the incumbent party. Strong Armenia comes second with 11.4%, a minor decrease of only .5% from the previous poll, but a clear indication that their campaign has, at the moment, stagnated. The current parliamentary opposition, Armenia Alliance, which would need 8% as it is an alliance and not a single party to pass the threshold of entering Parliament, comes in third at 4.2%. While this is a minor increase of .7% for the Armenia Alliance from our first poll, they still remain far below the threshold of entering Parliament. Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP) ranks fourth with 3.3%, an observable decrease from the first wave of polling, while the Republic Party, led by Aram Sargsyan and generally aligned with Civil Contract, comes fifth at 2.7%. The Wings of Unity Party, led by former Human Rights Ombudsman Arman Tatoyan, self-styled as a pro-democracy alternative to the current government, comes in sixth with 2.3%. Collectively, none of the parties aside from Civil Contract and Strong Armenia Party meet the threshold of entering Parliament, especially the parties representing the pro-West factions. Similarly, the Armenia Alliance, which received 21% of the votes in the 2021 elections and dominated the opposition landscape, continues to lose votes to the Strong Armenia party, since the platform of the two parties remain very similar: ideologically pro-Russia and anti-Velvet Revolution. Collectively, the so-called anti-Pashinyan vote has consolidated mostly within Strong Armenia, while the Armenia Alliance and PAP seek to hold their existing bases of support. Collectively, the total vote share of the three parties reaches the 20% range, commensurate with the performance of Armenia Alliance in the 2021 elections. This confirms the trends observed in our first poll, as the distribution of votes clearly indicates that the anti-Pashinyan votes are being absorbed by Strong Armenia at the expense of the Armenia Alliance.

yk it’s bad when the second and third highest responses for which party they’ll vote for are “refused to answer” and “I don’t know”

As Thomas Jefferson said “The government you elect is the government you deserve.”