Se l’opposizione ungherese non verrà dichiarata vincitrice delle prossime elezioni, quali sono le possibilità che si verifichino gravi disordini civili?
https://glavcom.ua/texts_in_english/orbans-elections-for-hungary-is-a-budapest-maidan-possible-1112431.html
di DefoNotTheAnswer
13 commenti
100%
Hopefully we see a 2020-21 Belarusian style uprising that actually ousts that Russian asset.
I was wandering the same
thing. As an ethnic hungarian, with dual citizenship, living in Romania, I am watching with restlessness as to what my friends and countryman over the border will do. However after the large scale civil disobedience at Budapest Pride last Spring… I am hopeful that Orbans days as prime minister are coming to an end.
It’s just gonna be Belarus/Georgia all over again. People will protest. Government will ignore it. Brussels will do nothing because we’re ruled by neolibs and neocons who hate to be told to do their fucking job
100%
There is not a small chance of opposition winning but being unable to bring the change they want. Many places have people from current government. Judges, police chiefs, mayors, clerks on every level and also president. Those will make things hard and make change velocity slow to a crawl. It would be a long battle. Might take too long for changes to happen that disappointment in the next election brings Orban back. And this might be Orban’s plan B.
the more cutting question is what happens in the situation in which tisza wins, but orban refuses to concede and perhaps even proclaims a state of exception with curfew. peaceful transfers of power among the right have hardly been in vogue since jan6, followed up by bolsonaro and even a pre-electoral attempt by yoon of south korea. should this turn out to be the case, i don’t think we should be pretending to ourselves that this will not spill over into other countries, especially what with the yachtload of circumstantial evidence pointing to abnormally high levels of coordinated action between fidesz and the serbian sns.
I’m clueless about Hungarian society, but couldn’t the opposite possibly trigger more civil unrest?
I thought that the pro-Orbán/Fidesz supporters would more prone to civil unrest than the pro-Tisza party. Because for example, I imagine some pro-Orbáns are suffering from the propaganda fear that “if Tisza wins, it’d be WW3 or Hungarians dying for Ukraine”, etc.?
So basically the EU will orchestrate a coup if their favoured candidate does not win.
I wish you all luck. Everything is wild everywhere but something has to right and start the ball rolling AWAY from the cliff. I believe it HAS to work out
The situation would be interesting. Orban does not have majority support, he barely ever had.
The police is underfunded and corrupt. Thousands of police jobs are vacant.
The army is underfunded and led by yes men.
They do have hundreds if not thousands of holligans and thugs, villing to beat up protesters but any popular uprising would not be met by force.
There is very little they can lean on when push comes to shove.
this is our one and only chance to be free. i will save my nation and so will everyone i know. we’ve survived worse than this larva
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