Cosa impedisce all’Armenia di lasciare il blocco militare russo?

>Yurii Panchenko reminds us that Armenia’s gradual break with the CSTO has been occurring for at least the past year. However, until now, the Armenian authorities have carefully avoided statements about a full withdrawal from the CSTO.

>As explained in Yerevan, the goal of Armenia is to “create a situation where the CSTO itself expels Armenia from its ranks.”

>”In unofficial conversations, Armenian politicians and experts explain that this strategy is the implementation of persistent recommendations from the West, primarily the United States.

>It is argued that until the end of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Armenia should avoid a complete break with Russia at all costs, as this could lead to a new war, and the West would be unable to back Armenia,” writes the editor of European Pravda.

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>However, if Armenia is carefully avoiding a de jure announcement of its withdrawal from the CSTO, de facto, this exit has been in place, Yurii Panchenko is convinced.

>According to him, as a result of a strategic dialogue between the delegations of Armenia and the United States, the parties agreed to raise the level of relations between the countries “to a strategic partnership.”

>”Once again: The United States agreed to consider a country that is a member of a military organisation positioning itself as an enemy of NATO as a strategic partner,” writes the author.

>In his view, this somewhat odd status of “no longer with Russia, but not yet with the West” will remain in Armenia at least until the end of the war in Ukraine.

>It is possible that Armenia’s course towards EU membership, which has been cautiously discussed for several months now, will also be “put on hold.”

>Panchenko believes that the upcoming parliamentary elections will give a definitive answer as to whether Armenia is exiting both the CSTO and other Russian organisations.