Riepilogo: si prevede che la fuga di cervelli in Russia, aggravata dalla perdita di lavoratori qualificati e dal calo demografico, avrà effetti negativi a lungo termine sull’economia, con una crescita destinata a rallentare man mano che il bacino di talenti innovativi si esaurisce. Questo problema è più serio dell’inflazione, poiché potrebbe essere difficile ricostituire la fornitura di lavoratori qualificati, in particolare con le continue perdite di forza lavoro dovute alla guerra. La produttività del lavoro e le richieste di brevetti sono già diminuite, indicando un indebolimento nei settori economici chiave. Nel tempo, l’economia russa potrebbe diventare sempre più dipendente dalle risorse naturali piuttosto che dall’innovazione, portando a una qualità della vita peggiore con il deterioramento dei servizi pubblici. Alcuni economisti avvertono che la Russia potrebbe affrontare gravi conseguenze economiche, tra cui una possibile recessione entro la fine dell’anno. Ciò segna un netto contrasto con la forte crescita e gli investimenti registrati negli anni ’90 e nei primi anni 2000.
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-ukraine-war-worker-shortage-population-brain-drain-2024-8
di Horsepankake
8 commenti
The greatest problem is being constantly at war with one of its neighbours.
End of the story.
A wise man said once: “Every brain drain looks brown, but not everything that looks brown is a brain drain.”
Wait I thought sanctions was Russias biggest problem. Guess they’re Europes problem now.
Typical autocrat thing. Autocracy is founded on lies, and silencing everyone who sees through it will hurt them.
It’s crazy when you think of what Russia’s doing. It’s a physically huge country with loads of resources, amazing landscapes, historical cities and all sorts of potentially very positive things going for it. It once had a huge science, aviation, technology and engineering sector which it seems to have largely squandered and driven away
Instead of maximising all that, it seems to spend its time fixated on waring with its neighbours and making thinly veiled nuclear threats against what were its main trade partners.
What will any of that achieve? They squandered lives, resources, money and reputation attacking a neighbouring country that they can’t even take over. Even if they did it would forever hate them and be hostile conquered territory just waiting for an opportunity to escape. It makes absolutely no sense whatsoever in any strategic sense, economic sense or quality of life sense or anything else.
Nobody really can trust them. Europe certainly doesn’t, the US never has and even China seems to be pursuing policies that look more like “keep your friends close and your enemies even closer” than any kind of real friendship. They’re being prepped for client state status.
Only Russians can solve any of these or find a different direction. Until they get out of the ideology of seeking strong king style leadership and making endless threats, I just don’t really see that happening.
They’re living in a mentality of empires that don’t even exist anymore. It’s not the 1930s.
I don’t really see a resolution to this while we’re essentially interacting with an irrational actor. Day after day the hole just keeps getting dug deeper.
The answer is poor Governance. All issues stem from that.
Stupid wars that decimate their demographics.
Corruption that means their vast natural resources get stolen.
The guy to the right in the article’s header photo is the actual problem.
If brain drain, no matter how severe, is Russia’s biggest economical problem, we aren’t sanctioning them hard enough.