La guerra del Cremlino in Ucraina è “un sorprendente fallimento militare russo”, afferma un diplomatico britannico. Le significative perdite di manodopera del Paese “dipingono un quadro desolante” e la distruzione di un quarto della flotta russa del Mar Nero si traduce in un “sbalorditivo fallimento militare russo”.

You could argue the war in Ukraine is already a Russian strategic defeat, they have met none of their own stated goals and instead are locked in a war of attrition that’s gutting their mid to long term economy and grinding away their projectable military strength. To make matters worse there seems to be no ‘easy way out’ for Russia, only at great political or further great military losses. It seems the political elite in Russia is more willing to double down and drag Russia further into the rabbit hole then to f.e. admit defeat, leave Ukraine and face the political backlash. Their position is deemed more important than the future of Russia.

Btw, this is not to say Ukraine is ‘winning’, Ukraine is still fighting for survival.