Gli osservatori dell’UE rimarranno in Armenia? Esaminando il loro ruolo nella stabilità e nelle tensioni regionali

You should read the article in its entirety for yourselves.

However, here is a small snippet:

>Poghosyan anticipates an extension of the mission’s mandate for another two years, assuming no extraordinary developments occur. However, he adds that the longer-term future of the mission could depend on developments in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2025. “If the United States succeeds in reaching certain agreements with Russia and freezing the conflict in Ukraine, Russia might have more resources to focus on other regions, including the South Caucasus.”
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>Poghosyan also provides insight into the broader regional dynamics affecting the mission’s work. He argues that the situation has become more complex with Azerbaijan’s recent positioning of the EU mission as an obstacle to peace. “Azerbaijan’s leadership doesn’t need a peace treaty. Moreover, a peace treaty could be harmful to them, as family power legitimization relies heavily on nationalism, external enemy narratives, and anti-Armenian sentiment,” he explains.
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>The expert further elaborates that Azerbaijan has set multiple preconditions for peace, including constitutional changes, withdrawal of international court claims, termination of the EU mission, request to dissolve the OSCE Minsk Group, and provision of an extraterritorial corridor. “Even if Armenia were to fulfill all five preconditions, I’m almost certain that Azerbaijan would bring forward several other preconditions the next day,” Poghosyan concludes.