Intelligenza danese: la Russia è pronta per una nuova guerra dopo l’Ucraina in 6 mesi | Questi calcoli presumono che la NATO non accelera i suoi armamenti allo stesso ritmo della Russia.
https://yle.fi/a/74-20010573/64-3-258887
di GrumpyFinn
Intelligenza danese: la Russia è pronta per una nuova guerra dopo l’Ucraina in 6 mesi | Questi calcoli presumono che la NATO non accelera i suoi armamenti allo stesso ritmo della Russia.
https://yle.fi/a/74-20010573/64-3-258887
di GrumpyFinn
2 commenti
The Danish military intelligence service FE has published an assessment of Russia’s military capabilities and objectives after the war in Ukraine ends or hostilities are suspended.
According to FE, Russia may be willing to use military force if the military balance of power appears to be shifting in its favor. NATO would then be militarily weakened or politically divided.
When Russia is able to disengage its forces from Ukraine, it will be able to start a local war against its neighboring country 6 months later.
Within two years, Russia could pose a credible threat to one or more NATO countries and is ready for war against several countries in the Baltic Sea region.
In five years, Russia would be ready for a large-scale war in Europe, provided that the United States does not participate.
These calculations assume that NATO does not accelerate its armaments at the same pace as Russia.
It was 6 years before, now it’s 6 months. Inflation us crazy. /s
To be serious tho, whenever someone asked, whether Puting will attack NATO, I used to say “definitely not”. The war in Ukraine itself was unplanned, Putin intended to just take Kiev without fighting just like he took Crimea. And when shit hit the fan, he wasn’t able to back off, that’s just not in his personality.
However, while the war with NATO wasn’t possible or at all likely before, new circumstances may make give Putin some low-hanging fruits that he’ll be tempted to take. If Trump is withdrawing from NATO, Baltic states become such an easy target, that I can’t imagine Putin not at least thinking about a land corridor to Kaliningrad.
I still don’t believe in war with Finland however.