La formula delle tariffe di Trump è stata sbattuta come “falsa” e “incredibilmente stupida” da esperti. Ecco perché

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2025/04/03/trumps-tariff-formula-slammed-as-fake-and-incredibly-stupid-by-experts/

    di trvsgrey

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    25 commenti

    1. trvsgrey on

      Trump debuting rates including 54% for China, 20% for the European Union and 26% for India, said the figures were based on “the combined rate of all their tariffs, non-monetary barriers and other forms of cheating” that was then divided in half because Trump wanted to be “kind.”

      Analyses posted on social media and in news articles determined the numbers were based on a much more simplistic calculation made by dividing a country’s trade surplus (representing the value by which a country’s exports exceeds the cost of its imports from the U.S.) by its total export value, then multiplying the figure by 0.5.

      The formula matched the tariffs Trump debuted for China, the European Union, Indonesia, India and Vietnam, Ian Bremmer, a global political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group consultancy firm, pointed out on X, writing “this is…incredibly stupid.”

      China, for example, had a trade surplus of $295 billion with the U.S. last year, with $438 billion worth of goods exported to the U.S.—$295 billion divided by $438 billion is equal to 67%, and divided in half equals the 34% tariff rate Trump debuted Wednesday.

      The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative later confirmed the formula by publishing what appears to be a complex math equation for calculating the tariff rates, but when stripped of its Greek letters, shows it’s essentially based on countries’ trade surpluses with the U.S. divided by their export value then divided in half.

      Some policy analysts suggested that the White House quickly calculated the rates as a starting point for negotiations with its trading partners, without having to deal with the complexity of calculating the actual cost of the trade barriers each country imposes on the U.S. “All I can say is that the opaqueness surrounding the tariff numbers may add some flexibility in making deals, but it could come at a cost to US credibility,” Rob Subbaraman, head of global macro research at Nomura, told CNBC.

    2. nevetz1911 on

      It’s made by Trump or by Trump’s administration. I don’t need to know why it is fake and incredibly stupid.

    3. explorer9599 on

      This group is totally stupid and cannot calculate complex math. They can only do simple arithmetic and that is why their support base is even dumber.

    4. Shintaro1989 on

      Trump doesn’t realize that a trade deficite is an expression of a wealthy country. People in the US are rich enough to import from other countries. If the US would need to produce everything themselves to avoid a trade deficite, thousands of US citizens would need to work in sweatshops. And good luck beating the chinese in efficiency while paying even lower wages.

      “Made in the USA” means, that someone must do that job.

    5. Prize_Horror_1748 on

      There are no serous people in that administration. Only incompetents and literal idiots.

    6. Rhoderick on

      … Because it is “fake”, and “incredibly stupid”?

    7. SomeLostGirl on

      I don’t even need the experts to explain why. The man tarriffed two islands that have no people on them. This is entirely arbitrary at best and designed to crash this country at worse.

    8. Tariffs are just like Trump then, they just need some more orange paint and the resemblance will be uncanny.

    9. Shock, they’ve fudged the numbers and pulled the tariffs out their arse…😱

    10. PozitronCZ on

      What is his agenda? Does he really think he’s doing it for the good of the US? Or he has a different goal?

    11. Creative-Strength-60 on

      Soon enough Trump won’t have a country to run,, then only the billionaires will be left to work in their businesses if they have them,, then they’ll all turn on each other.

    12. jaguarsadface on

      Their is a reason no one is buying Ford and Chevrolet motor cars – they are big gas guzzlers that nobody wants

      And Tesla is in a PR crisis

    13. mondayaccguy on

      Yeah as someone who has paid actual import fees in the EU the numbers posted by Trump are obviously lies.

      I know because they are vastly higher than the fees I pay.. by a factor of ten!!

    14. justthegrimm on

      Chump and co basically derived that percentage from the trade deficit with each country, like how dare the world sell us all the cheap stuff our people demand. Absolutely ridiculous.

    15. Zedbaby71 on

      Watch this space , the US will win out this and all the feet stamping in the world will not help , nothing stopping everyone doing it

    16. mishalobdell on

      Trump’s formula incredibly stupid. What a surprise…

    17. Alwaysname on

      HES A MORON!!!!!!!

      In all caps. Most people say they like it that way.

    18. Sandman5554 on

      The figures don’t really need to be remotely accurate playing to the audience he has. Anybody involved with his administration is almost certainly a pathological liar. The only business he had that was anywhere near successful was selling red caps that were made in china to idiots.

    19. DoubleDDay69 on

      Fun fact about US tariff policies of the past, since 1828 tariffs have been enacted almost every 100 years three times, the 3rd time being this year. The first two times this was done, a depression followed this economic policy both times.

      Being Canadian, we have a very unique opportunity to become global leaders in everything and to work together with Europe to achieve this. Hopefully, our gov’t is smart enough to take advantage of US alienation from the world.

    20. Step 0: Just look at goods, not services. Also choose 10% minimum tariffs, cause fuck everyone, mostly US citizens and companies.

      Step 1: post some convoluted nonsense with unnecessarily many symbols, including indices and greek letters, so it looks smart and complicated. Also call the whole thing “reciprocal tariffs” for no reason.

      Step 2: post some pseudoscientific nonsense that references some legit stuff. Squeeze in “epsilon<0” for whatever reason. Perhaps because someone found it funny or the person/AI doesn’t know conventions or how signs work. At least they’d get a positive tariff that way.

      Step 3: “We choose epsilon=4”. Pretend the result is positive anyway and in any way sane.

      Fucking lunatic imbeciles.

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