Secondo il sondaggio IRI, la valutazione di Pashinyan nel nuovo minimo storico

A few numbers from the above article:

49% of the population is confident the country is moving in the wrong direction

36% of the population is confident the country is moving in the right direction

Nikol Pashinyan has the highest approval rating among individual political figures at 13%, down 3% from 2024

Civil Contract has an approval rating of 17%, down 3% from 2024

The “Armenia” Alliance is in second place with an approval rating of 4% and 2% indicated “Robert Kocharyan” rather than any political party

61% of the population do not approve of any political party or figure

The military has an approval rating of 72%

The Apostolic Church has an approval rating of 58%, up 10% since 2024. In the 18-35 age bracket the approval rating for the church has reached 70%

40% of the population are against the signing of the peace treaty with Azerbaijan

47% are for the signing of the peace treaty

In the 18-35 age bracket 48% are against and 38% are for the signing of the peace treaty

49% of the population has indicated that they would vote ‘yes’ to joining the EU, 15% would vote ‘no’ and 31% would not take part in such a vote

The “competition” obviously isn’t doing much better. But they did something smart, they fragmented into 5-6 different pieces to appeal to different niches, religious, pro-oligarch, pro-authoritarian, pro-Russian etc etc. so they try to each get a few pieces of the electorate and combine to push QP out. Something similar to how it went down in Gyumri. I’m afraid that even some alternative choices like Hayk Marutyan may choose to side with the opposition. And powers like Aram Sargsyan on QPs corner aren’t nearly interesting enough for the population for QP to be able to pull off the same fragmentation tactics.

I would expect his ratings actually to grow considering all the recent drama. And I find it amusing that many people complained about the government being too soft on oligarchs and wanted them to be tougher. Now they are tougher and many people are saying that it’s too much.

Way I see it they now have the last chance to do what they had to do in 2018, if they blow it they blow the 2026 elections.

It’s not a good time for QP to have unresolved diplomatic issues and the burden of their failures since 2018. They need something, either a peace treaty or a crushed oligarchy. I don’t even know which is less of an impossible task at this point.