Mega sondaggio prevede che i Verdi vincono tre seggi MP a Bristol alle prossime elezioni generali
https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/mega-poll-predicts-greens-winning-10536281
di JayR_97
Mega sondaggio prevede che i Verdi vincono tre seggi MP a Bristol alle prossime elezioni generali
https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/mega-poll-predicts-greens-winning-10536281
di JayR_97
5 commenti
Labour are disaffecting people left, right and centre.
Turns out that dancing on the head of a pin to try and appeal to demographics with radically different priorities and views just means everybody ends up hating you.
I still think the YouGov MRP is severely underestimating Green gains. Greens got 6.4% of the votes in the last general election, now we’re polling above 10%. The last general election also shows that Green votes are incredibly concentrated in urban constituencies, so if our support has nearly doubled since, we can expect significantly more support in urban constituencies.
Just to pick two examples, YouGov predict us to get 23% of the vote in Norwich South when we already got 18% of the vote last year. If our _national_ polling has gone up by 5%, we will definitely gain more than 5% in Norwich South. Likewise, YouGov is only predicting us to get 25% of the vote in Birkenhead, when we got 20% last year and we are already the second largest party in Wirral Council.
They were pretty close last year, too. The amount of target seats has increased drastically, albeit any increase is drastic when you’ve spent a decade sitting at 1. And things have only gotten better for them since 2024, they’re probably the only left wing party that’s doing **well** at the moment.
It’s not really surprising that people feel dissafected by the mainstream left, I just hope the third party leaders are smart around FPTP.
Yes, well, voters appear to be moving away from traditional centrist parties and towards the fringes.
> Across the country, YouGov predicted that Reform would win 311 seats, which is 15 short of an outright majority. Labour would be left with 144 seats, the Liberal Democrats with 78, the Conservatives with 45, the SNP with 37, the Greens with seven, and Plaid Cymru with six.