La Russia si trova ad affrontare una grave crisi di bilancio, che rischia di mettere a repentaglio il finanziamento della guerra contro l’Ucraina. Il bilancio russo per il periodo 2026-2028 prevede deficit per sette anni consecutivi, mentre l’industria militare è in perdita e le riserve si stanno esaurendo. Il governo sta cercando di coprire il deficit con aumenti delle tasse e stampa di moneta. Le sanzioni occidentali, i bassi prezzi del petrolio e un rublo sopravvalutato stanno ulteriormente esacerbando la situazione, il che potrebbe rendere insostenibili gli sforzi bellici della Russia a lungo termine.
https://kyivindependent.com/the-cost-of-war-is-russia-running-out-of-money-to-fight-its-war/
di CommissionOrganic350
17 commenti
It is becoming increasingly clear that the Russian war machine is finally beginning to collapse under its own weight. No matter how hard they try to cover up reality with propaganda, economic collapse cannot be hidden forever.
Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦
Make Russia small again! And the newly freed minority countries could escape the conscription that is devastating their populations.
This isn’t a saving grace. The most economically impactful option for partners would be if they invest in our ability to destroy more of russian infrastructure. Trump has said dozens of times that as soon as the war ends, under basically any circumstance, that he would be willing to invest in russia and conduct business with them so at the very least we are working against that momentum on top of everything else. So, yeah, that’s basically giving russia more time and energy if they’re under the impression that they could make any sort of settlement within the next 4 years they’ll have a massive economic injection after
Honest question.. they still print rubles. But it is still relatively high because the russian government controls the change. Controling the change is easy thx to sanctions…
Could we just allow the change during a week? So Russians oligarchs and others can trade their shitty rubles to something else easily? ..rubles would collapse, no?
Something we hear every year. Let’s hope this one it’s true
*typing in complete darkness due to blackout*
I’m all in for Ukraine finally getting peace but over decades, the Kremlin has managed to create extremely complacent population which doesn’t question authority and can tolerate extreme poverty. They haven’t gone into full war economy and spending on defence as a nation at war would. From various sources, RU spend roughly 8% of their GDP on war, Ukraine about 35%.
If Kremlin forces mass mobilization, Putin will become unpopular so this is not a card he is playing just yet.
Contrary to popular opinion, Russia can go on for very long before their economy collapses if Ukraine cannot cripple the war machine and is only on the defensive. The only way to ensure this is too equip Ukraine well the ability to reach high value targets and cripple the gas station. They should have received long range missiles yesterday.
> Is Russia running out of money to continue the fight?
Yes. The question is will it run out to the point of not being able to meaningfully fund either the military or domestic needs such that one or the other (or both) collapse before Ukraine either loses or forces a ceasefire agreement. Because those are the three options on the table: A) the war goes on long enough at the current rate that Russia’s endless meatwaves overwhelm Ukraine to the point of exhaustion of its own soldiers B) the cost gets so high for Russia that they agree to a ceasefire along current lines, or C) Russia’s ability to finance the war collapses and Ukraine is able to push Russian troops back to 1991 borders.
Collapse!
Quickly!
GREAT NEWS, UKRAINE!
DESTROY THEIR OIL, DESTROY THEIR ECONOMY, DESTROY RUSSIA!
I read this same article since 2 years ago and it looks quite the opposite unfortunately. The only way things can change is if ukraine gets more and advanced weapons to destroy the russians on the frontline and off it.
I’m a bit more pessimisstic about this honestly. Partly due to the fact that countries like Iran or Venezuela are in similar positions economically but tbf they are still drastically different in size, populace, and the fact they’re not exactly in wartime mode so IDK.
Russian war machine is definitely weakening economically, but it’s hard to actually see if there’s truly going to be a collapse. I’d wait to see what would happen if their NWF dries up first.
Russians will eat shit (naturally) so I would not be so optimistic.
However I remember that USSR had lost the cold war so there is a chance.
So time to attack and conquer Russia?
The Day-Glo Mussolini is just as much of a problem when it comes to solving this obscenely chaoticly illegal invasion as PooTin is. BOTH are greed-driven blood-soaked despot maniacs. The very lowest of ‘human’ lifeforms. Shame on them. Shame on US!
One can only hope
Assuming nothing changes (US won’t drop sanctions, oil price won’t go up, etc) or sanctions get worse, Russia will be in terrible financial situation 2027/2028 based on various estimates.
Given Ukraine’s lack of equipment, manpower shortage, their own debt and Russia’s gaining speed when it comes to capturing territory, it’s unsure if Ukraine will be able to hold up till 2027/2028.
This year, for the first time since start of the war, Ukraine will end year with less soldiers than they started with. That’s because of massive desertion problem (200k desertions this year). Meanwhile Russia will have 165k more and their recruitment is said to speed up in 2026.
All that money from oil and gas …
Putin could have used it to prop up his economy, the schools and university to make Russia an economic powerhouse but he chose military instead.