I partiti al governo tedeschi stringono un nuovo accordo sul servizio militare

BERLIN — Germany’s governing parties have agreed on a fresh compromise for revamping military service, after an earlier political deal was derailed last month.
The new agreement, finalized Wednesday night by senior lawmakers from the center-right Christian Democrats and the center-left Social Democrats, marks the coalition’s second attempt to settle one of the country’s most contentious defense reforms.
The earlier draft collapsed after Defense Minister Boris Pistorius intervened to halt a model that relied on automatic lottery triggers to fill personnel gaps. That sparked a wider debate over how far Germany should go in compelling young people to serve.

The newly negotiated compromise, released Thursday morning, takes a different path. It introduces mandatory registration and medical screening, but makes any move toward compulsory service dependent on a separate parliamentary decision — a political middle ground.
Under the new plan, all 18-year-olds will be formally registered for service, with men required to complete a compulsory questionnaire about their fitness and willingness to serve. In a significant shift, the parties agreed to reinstate mandatory medical examinations for male 18-year-olds starting with those born in 2008, giving the government early visibility into who could serve if needed.
But the real compromise lies in the next step. Instead of automatically activating call-ups when volunteer numbers fall short — the mechanism that fueled political resistance last month — the plan creates a “needs-based service duty” that can only begin if parliament votes for it. If lawmakers decide the security situation or staffing shortfalls justify compulsory service, the Bundeswehr would select only the required number of recruits through a structured process, resorting to a lottery only as a final measure.
To strengthen the voluntary pathway, the deal includes new incentives: €2,600 monthly pay, a subsidy for a car or truck driver’s license after one year of service and a new status for long-serving volunteers.
The compromise proposal also anchors a legal troop-growth target of 255,000 to 270,000 active soldiers plus around 200,000 reservists, aligned with Germany’s NATO commitments and reviewed twice a year by parliament. Currently, Germany has around 182,000 soldiers.
The draft law is expected to be introduced to parliament for a vote by the end of the year.

Adopt the Swedish model

Drafting people who don’t want to be drafted seems far more dangerous than just having a professional volunteer force no?

You can’t fix the shortfall in long service professionals with six months serving conscripts. The term of service must be similar if you want to use the conscripts in the same units. Mixed units also become unusable for anything but the highest stakes wars. If you keep the conscripts separate from the the professionals, you’ll get more use out of them, but tying their number to the shortfall in recruitment makes no sense as they are a completely different part of the force structure.

So what happens if you go to the enlistment office and for every question say “Death to Israel”?

And so men are relegated once again to be mere expendable cannon fodder in yet another state. A sad state of affairs but a predictable one so long as men themselves do not seriously resist it with everything they have.

The earlier reported target of 40,000 conscripts each year is actually relatively low, given Germany’s 83 million population. This means it will very likely be based on the Scandinavian model of limited/selective conscription where the proportion is low enough such that most, if not all, who undergo conscript training are the ones who express willingness to do it in the first place.

So how different is it from universal male conscription? Finland, for example, has that system and they train 22,000 conscripts each year out of a population of 5.6 million. If they had Germany’s 83 million population, there would be 320,000+ conscripts each year.

I remember “news” here when a retired German general announced draft for both genders without saying it would take a constitutional change (for Americans: a mere amendment) to that.

I wonder what a can of worms is opened in this article.