I dati mostrano che la vittoria militare russa in Ucraina “non è inevitabile”, dicono gli analisti

> While diplomatic efforts to end the war have ramped up over the past week, analysts have weighed in on the situation on the battlefield.

> The Institute for the Study of War has said that data on the rate of advance of Russia’s forces indicates that a Russian military victory in Ukraine is “not inevitable”.

> It also added that a “rapid Russian seizure of the rest of Donetsk Oblast is not imminent”.

> “The reality on the battlefield indicates that a Russian victory in Ukraine is far from certain,” the report said.

> “Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russian military commanders have been attempting to portray Russia as capable of rapidly seizing Donetsk Oblast militarily, but hard data on the rate of Russian advance in Donetsk Oblast does not indicate that Russian forces will imminently seize the rest of the oblast.”

> The report stated that Russian forces have advanced at an average of 0.12km per day in Pokrovsk since entering for the first time on 31 July.

> It added that Russian forces have consolidated advances in 66% of Pokrovsk as of 26 November – a low percentage given the time and manpower Russia has dedicated to the effort.