Lorcan Sirr: Questo è stato un anno triste per chiunque sperasse di acquistare una casa. Il 2026 sarà migliore?
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2025/12/30/lorcan-sirr-this-was-a-dismal-year-for-anyone-hoping-to-buy-a-house-will-2026-be-better/
di SeanB2003
8 commenti
Grim news for renters:
>To put this in context, in a new tenancy, the cheapest nationwide average rent for a one-bed apartment or house is now more expensive than the mortgage repayments for a first-time buyer (€1,345) on a €350,000 one-bed house over 30 years.
>. . .
>What does it all mean for 2026?
>From the new legislation alone, it seems that rents are most certainly going to rise in 2026. Regulations have been changed to allow rents to increase significantly to attract new investment from large funds. There will be no let-up in increased homelessness. And no matter how many new houses get built next year, if salaries go up and interest rates go down – very likely, and neither of which the Government has much control over – house prices are only going in one direction.
Oh look, a new Lorcan Sirr post has dropped. Hopefully he’ll not rehash the same poorly formed ideas and demand that more houses be built at higher standards but for less money. I wonder how long before he admits he thinks builders should be forced to work for free.
No.
Next question please.
Nope! Next!
The hard truth is if the State didn’t buy these units many would not be built at all or would require even higher rents or prices. The funding gap will tighten in 2026 and many builders are one delayed drawdown from going bust as the as the viability gap widens. There is likely less units will be delivered in 2026 and Drogheda will be the new Swords like Kildare is the new Castleknock
We’ve still got a 50/60k shortage of workers in the construction sector to even hope to hit the types of targets we need.
We seem to be maxed out around 30k builds a year, which needs doubling frankly to address the shortfall inside a decade.
Of course, we don’t have some excess capacity of trade people sitting around doing nothing.
One small sliver of a silver lining is that as a millennial age person, our folks are dying. We’ve extended life expectancy in recent decades obviously, but that’s plateauing and so as that happens, you get an increase in the volume of deaths (yes, that’s the actual simple explanation behind all the “excess deaths” morons that you’ll see on thejournal.ie or twitter or Facebook, not Covid jabs etc). As they pass and go into care where the homes become collateral, we’re going to see a lot of these family homes on the market and it’s not enough, but it is what it is.
Betteridge’s law of headlines is an adage that states: “Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word no.”
Vote FFG, Get FFG.