L’ex diplomatico afferma che Dublino ha paura dell’unità irlandese perché minaccerebbe il “duopolio confortevole” di Fianna Fáil e Fine Gael
https://www.irishnews.com/news/politics/former-diplomat-says-dublin-is-afraid-of-irish-unity-because-it-would-threaten-the-fffg-comfortable-duopoly-SRQA2T47KFEY7FFDNO2CSB73JE/
di rossitheking
9 commenti
>it is only the tiniest minority in the north
He keep using the term tiniest minority, but I think thats very unhelpful. According to the last census 43% identified as British and 33% identified as Irish.
I mean, yeah that’s kind of obvious
This is the guy gunning for an Irish Brexit in the early 2020s? Seems like an absolute gobshite.
Well yeah. The shinners are the only ones who compete up north. FFG could potentially target Unionist voters but in doing so they might end up losing some of their own supporters.
Also I think whoever brings it in will have to be ready for all the backlash that happens afterwards. Merging the different governmental departments from both regions will be a nightmare and will cause havoc. Whoever oversees that first is getting smashed in the following election unless they work absolute miracles
FFG are partitionist parties. Partition has suited them for well over a century.
This should come as no surprise
There are a lot of very good reasons to be afraid of Irish unity, especially for people south of the border. The north is an economic basket case, the south would have to subsidise their bloated civil service because the tax income wouldn’t come close to covering it. Say goodbye to all of the infrastructure projects we’d plan to do, we’d no longer be able to afford them.
On top of that you have the very real risk of violence from more radical unionists, unifying against the will of such a large fraction of the population will not go down well. Any border poll that failed to pass with less than a 75% share of the north should probably be considered a no vote.
>Martin’s tendency to “concentrate exclusively on the unionist minority is wrong and strategically a major error”
The truth is there is no unity without that “minority” consent.
So he’s wrong
You have to understand the political mind.
It’s votes, staying on message, the three main things you put into your electioneering manifesto, voters won’t read more than three.
It’s first preferences and transfers, it occupies 90% of their brains.
How can you get elected and stay elected?
Look at how the merger of SDLP and Fianna Fail went down, down in flames.
The principal beneficiary of that failure and the failures chief architect?
Clare Hannah – newly minted SDLP leader.
Ian Paisley sat in government with Martin McGuiness when the two were literally on opposing sides of the troubles, belligerents.
Why ?
Power and politics.
It’s what separates the DeValeras and Collinses from the other 1916 guys you’ve never heard of.
It’s what separates Gerry Adams from Brendan Hughes.
It would be irrationally weird if the top elechlons of the political class were obsessing about power and position in a post unity world and it’s naive to expect otherwise.
You really think Sinn Fein hasn’t made a mental count of how many seats it would have post unity?
Lol
I don’t think any swing in the north’s voting would be important in the medium term. As in the DUP will stay for a long time, SF would get a short term bump but when they change over to the electoral system in Ireland the existing parties will expand up there or new parties that don’t focus on the religious divide will pop up. It will balance out eventually but any suggest of FF or FG seeing their party as more important than the country or the island overall needs to go fuck off somewhere else. Politics isn’t about getting elected it should be exclusively be about making meaningful improvements to the lives of people you represent so if you are worried that more voters are going to make your life hard then maybe this isn’t the right profession.