Oggi (19 aprile) i cittadini della 🇧🇬 Bulgaria si recano alle urne per votare alle elezioni parlamentari… ANCORA. Questi sono ottavo Elezioni parlamentari in Bulgaria tra cinque anni. Tuttavia, questa volta il problema non è dovuto alla mancata formazione di una maggioranza di governo, bensì alle dimissioni del governo proteste.
Se sei interessato, ecco il link al ns discussione precedente (ottobre 2024), puoi trovare il collegamento a quelli precedenti più avanti nel post.
Parlamento bulgaro (unicamerale Narodno Subranie) è composto da 240 membri (121 necessari per la maggioranza), eletti mediante rappresentanza proporzionale a lista chiusa in 31 collegi elettorali plurinominali, con soglia elettorale del 4%, per un mandato di 4 anni.
I partiti o le alleanze rilevanti che partecipano alle elezioni sono:
| Nome | Leader | Posizione | Risultato 2024 | Sondaggi recenti | Risultato | Posti (cambia) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria progressista (PB) | Rumine Radev | centrosinistra (populista) | nuovo | 32-38% | Da definire | nuovo |
| GERB-SDS | Boyko Borisov | centrodestra (conservatore) | 25,5% | 19-21% | Da definire | (66) |
| PP-DB | Asen Vasilev | centro (liberale) | 13,8% | 11-13% | Da definire | (36) |
| DPS | Delyan Peevski | centrodestra (minoranza turca) | 11,1% | 9-11% | Da definire | (29) |
| rinascita (V) | Kostadin Kostadinov | estrema destra (nazionalista, filo-Russia, anti-vacc) | 12,9% | 6-7% | Da definire | (33) |
| BSP-Sinistra Unita | Krum Zarkov | centrosinistra (post-comunista, conservatore sociale) | 7,3% | 3-4% | Da definire | (19) |
| Spada (MECh) | Radostin Vasilev | di destra (conservatore nazionale, filo-Russia) | 4,5% | 3-4% | Da definire | (11) |
| Splendente | Nikolaj Popov | anti-corruzione | nuovo | 3-4% | Da definire | nuovo |
| Esistono persone così (ITN) | Slavi Trifonov | di destra (conservatore nazionale) | 6,6% | 1-3% | Da definire | (17) |
| Grandezza | Ivelin Mihaylov | di destra (nazionalista, filo-Russia) | 3,9% | 1-3% | Da definire | (10) |
| AP | Ciao Sadakov | centrodestra (minoranza turca) | 7,2% | 1-2% | Da definire | (19) |
L’affluenza alle ultime elezioni (ottobre 2024) è stata solo 38.8%, (altre recenti elezioni anticipate si sono concluse con il 33-41%). Durante le elezioni regolari del 2013-2021, l’affluenza alle urne era intorno al 49-53%.
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Naturalmente, lasceremo ai nostri utenti commenti dettagliati (e qualsiasi curiosità interessante!) sulle elezioni, sulla campagna e sull’intera situazione.
Bulgarian snap parliamentary election, take seven
byu/pothkan ineurope
di pothkan
8 commenti
Posting it here too so trolls cannot deny it !
Closing of Radev’s Campaign event yesterday from r/Bulgaria :
[https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.redd.it%2Fed0e4gu3tqvg1.jpeg](https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.redd.it%2Fed0e4gu3tqvg1.jpeg)
Closing the event with photo of Radev – The National Traitor shaking hands with Vladimir Putin.
Rumen Radev also said out loud that Crimea is Russian.
Oof, 39% voter turnout seems abysmal. Is that normal for Bulgaria or is it because it was a snap election?
Good bye Brussels, good bye Washington, good bye Kiev – Bulgaria will be free from foreign influence and yes, friendship with Russia is in our bucket list.
I see everyone dooming about this election but I don’t get how it’s a terrible thing that in a country that the far right was rising at an alarming rate, with literal fascist parties getting 20% of the vote, they will now be on the verge of missing parliament because a centre left, **less** pro Russia party will win in a landslide. Would I prefer if it was a pro EU party? Sure, but Bulgaria’s political system simply doesn’t allow for a pro EU majority without any problems. There’s a big pro EU block, but that block hates each other because over half of it is corrupt or comically corrupt in some cases. The fact that a party lead by someone who has said he won’t be more pro Russia than Babis, Fico and Magyar and who might have to depend on the most normal pro EU party to govern and that’s something he seems somewhat willing to do will win seems kinda best case scenario right now. Radev won’t be an Orban because not only he’s not as smart and good at politics he’s also not evil to that extent, he will be regular bad for eastern European standard, not a literal Russian and Trumpist agent in the midst of the EU. Hopefully a stable government dependent on PP-DB will give the pro EU camp time to recover but I think for now it’s good that the insane pro Russia fascist parties were eaten by an average pro Russia centrist.
Eight parliamentary elections in five years is not a democracy trying to find its way. It is a complete systemic collapse!
For everyone outside of the Balkans wondering how an EU and NATO member state is on the verge of electing a fiercely pro-Russian populist who literally closes his campaign rallies with pictures of Putin, you have to look at that abysmal 39% voter turnout.
Radev is not surging in the polls because the average Bulgarian suddenly loves the Kremlin. He is winning because the Bulgarian public is completely exhausted. When the pro-Western, pro-EU establishment is so comically corrupt that some of the leading opposition figures are literally sanctioned by the US and UK under the Magnitsky Act for massive graft, voters just give up and stay home.
And when 60% of the country stays home, the only people left voting are the hardcore nationalists and the organized, bought-and-paid-for voter blocks.
This is incredibly dangerous for the rest of Europe. With Viktor Orbán finally getting ousted in Hungary, Vladimir Putin is absolutely desperate for a new veto-wielding Trojan Horse inside the European Council to block aid and sabotage sanctions. Radev saw that job opening, stepped down from the presidency, and is now auditioning for the role.
This is the ultimate cautionary tale for the rest of the EU. If you let domestic corruption fester for too long, the voters will eventually get so apathetic that they will hand the keys of the country over to a foreign proxy just to spite the establishment.
So what are possible coalitions?
It seems like GERB-PP-DPS might have a majority as a broad pro-EU (as possible…) coalition, but that was the Denkov government that failed.
On the other hand Radev and Revival (+BSP if they get into parliament) might get a majority, would they work together, at least as a minority government?
If not where does Radev get his majority, getting a deal with the Turkish party? Promising domestic reforms to PP while also promising not to go full Fico abroad? I assume Radev-Borisov is a non-starter, or is that gonna be the corruption coalition?
I don’t know if it’s at all been talked about in the campaign and I suppose not knowing how to put together a government has been the whole problem for the last years, but I don’t see how that’s gonna change after this election.
I suppose it won’t.
See y’all next year at the next elections
Where can we watch vote presence and the results?