Continua il terremoto politico in Romania: Elena Lasconi del centrista USR ha preso il secondo posto al primo ministro Ciolacu e affronterà al ballottaggio l’estrema destra Georgescu-Roegen. È la prima volta che i partiti dell’establishment PSD e PNL non hanno un candidato al secondo turno
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di justdontreadit
12 commenti
For the second round, something worth looking into is the fact that around ~10% of the Romanian population are ethnic minorities, who Georgescu (especially Hungarians and Jews) has campaigned against. The last time a far-right candidate got in the second round (2000), the anti-far right candidate got over 90% of the vote of the ethnic minorities. It might be something similar this time around too.
That vote difference between the second and third place though.
When you think that at europarliament elections PSD & PNL had over 50%, while USR had 8% in an alliance with other 2 parties.
The real shitshow will be the 2nd round. The far right wingers will rally behind Georgescu (Simion has already said he’ll back him in the 2nd round), but I’m curious if the other mainstream parties will do the same for Lasconi.
Politics today looks like the ending of every episode of Scooby Doo, they catch the villain, unmask him and go “ZOINKS, VLADIMIR PUTIN!?”
So there’s a good chance that Ciolacu and Lasconi voters, plus Simion voters who aren’t cool with outright Nazi worship, all rally together in the second round?
Along with some of the other parties down the list including presumably most of the Szekelys vote.
If the numbers add up, it sounds positive for Lasconi.
It’s worse than that. The guy on the 4th place (Simion from AUR) is pro-Russia too. So you could add the votes to see how many votes pro-Russia we had…
I hope that Romania will follow the example of France, and unite behind the less extreme candidate in the second round.
What are her chances?
Is this one of those French situations where the extreme right candidate makes it to the final round because they have a dedicated fanbase, but everybody kind of hates the extreme right and they never win the final round?
This is only confirming the fact that there’s nothing like a mysterious “far right rise” in Europe. What we’re really seeing is the establishment doing nothing, hoping it will continue to be a good strategy, failing, and voters looking for alternatives. Sure, it’s not only one factor, but if the establishment was willing to take action, take responsibility, be cooperative, do compromises, and present a real vision, then far right would not have much of a chance to win.
This will keep happening in all of Europe as long as leading elites don’t start addresing issues that common citizen faces. Illegal immigration, paying the bills, those are the real problems.
Here is a view from behind the scenes:
Many people suspected PSD will take care some of their votes to be counted for AUR, their favorite candidate to run against in 2nd round. Many people think they did exactly that.
About 1h ago news came out, PSD is contesting the redults in about 11 instances. The current difference between their candidate in 3rd place to the 2nd place is about 1.8k votes.
Now if they contest exactly where they know they falsely counted in favor of AUR candidate and claim those votes back, they surely come out ahead in 2nd place.