I dazi di Trump influenzerebbero a malapena il commercio dell’UE, dicono i ricercatori

As much as i dislike the goof, but this is classic EUropean arrogance.

[https://policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/eu-trade-relationships-country-and-region/countries-and-regions/united-states_en](https://policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/eu-trade-relationships-country-and-region/countries-and-regions/united-states_en)

“Transatlantic trade reached an all-time high of 1.2 trillion euro in 2021, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by more than 10%.

* The United States remains the EU’s number one trading partner in services. Bilateral trade in services reached a record in 2021 and accounted for more than 500 billion euro.”

Tariffs will absolutely affect us.

the researchers must be on putins payroll

Mango! America’s elected imbecile! And then there is Madam von der Leyen….sharp and cosmopolitan. I should love to meet Madam von der Leyen. Mango…not so much. No one wants to have to reason with a fool.

ok then, lets fucking go. I will apply at the tariff department in Hamburg when the demand rises. the pay is pretty dope for a state service salary. (40k€ and no tax)

Trump is trying trade war with Mexico and Canada first and once he gets trade deal of his liking then he moves the war to other countries, perhaps EU.

Just do it. I want the EU stocks to high rocket.

# Trump tariffs would barely affect EU trade, researchers say

The return of Donald Trump to the White House has EU policymakers worried. One of those worries is trade: Trump has vowed to impose a 60 percent tariff on imports from China, 25 percent on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10 percent on the rest of the world, including the EU. He has also said he would impose a 100 percent tariff on cars and other vehicles.

German carmakers will be nervously watching this, but at first glance the EU seems to comes off lightly.

The reason many are concerned is that these tariffs could quickly escalate into a trade war.We should “negotiate, not retaliate,” European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde told the Financial Times on Thursday, and prevent a “tit-for-tat” trade war “where nobody is a winner.” A trade war could push an already sluggish eurozone economy into “a full-blown recession,” warned James Knighley, chief international economist at the Dutch bank ING, shortly after Trump’s election, calling it “Europe’s worst economic nightmare come true.” The question is: would it be quite that bad? In all this talk about worst case scenarios, relatively little attention is paid to the fact that the impact on EU trade would likely be quite limited.A new study by the Dutch Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis suggests that if Trump implements all his planned tariffs, it would primarily affect US imports (27 percent) and exports (20 percent). Dutch exports to the US would also fall by 20 percent. But because US trade only represents five percent of total Dutch trade, the impact on overall trade is just one percent. The effect on EU trade is only slightly higher at 1.5 percent. If Trump would decide to increase tariffs to 20 percent, this would still only reduce EU trade by 2.2 percent. Previously, research by Aurélien Saussay of the London School of Economics showed that Trump’s tariffs would reduce the EU’s GDP by minus 0.11 percent — significantly less than the minus 0.64 percent and minus 0.68 percent drops he forecasted for the US and China. Trump’s tariffs could still significantly alter global trade routes; an all out trade war where supply chains are weaponised is not covered in the analysis, and could result in far larger economic losses. “Our study doesn’t cover political and policy uncertainty,” Gerdien Meijerink, one of the report’s authors, told EUobserver. “We only looked at the effect tariffs would have on supply chains and trade.” These effects suggest that the proposed tariffs alone seem to have relatively limited impact. And it suggests EU trade may be more resilient than many policymakers fear. Part of this is because the tariffs do give US manufacturing a boost (the CPB predicts a 30 percent jump in cars and electrical appliances), but both consumers and exporters take a hit.The opposite is true in the EU and the Netherlands. The EU sees sharp drops in industries like vehicles (-6.1 percent) and pharmaceuticals (-4.9 percent). But EU and Dutch services such as consulting, software development, and financial services will benefit because US services will become more expensive, as tariffs increase consumer and producer prices, and also lead to higher wages.

These higher wages will make the American services sector less competitive compared to the EU. Meijerink also cautions against using retaliatory measures. These would “have little effect” on both the EU and the US economy “to increase prices and further restrict trade.”Targeted subsidies, tax incentives, or finding other sources of trade are a “more effective” way of dealing with tariffs than retaliatory actions, she said. Trump tariffs would barely affect EU trade, researchers say