La Russia subisce un duro colpo politico, militare ed economico mentre Assad cade dal potere in Siria – The Mosca Times
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/12/09/russia-takes-a-political-military-and-economic-hit-as-syrias-assad-falls-from-power-a87266
di Horsepankake
8 commenti
Summary:
The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria has dealt Russia significant political, military, and economic blows. Politically, Moscow’s position as a dominant power broker in the Middle East has been severely undermined. Russia’s failure to reinforce Assad during the insurgents’ swift offensive has damaged its global credibility as a reliable security partner, weakening its influence and its vision of a multipolar world. While the Kremlin has begun shifting its rhetoric toward the new Islamist-led Syrian authorities, whom it previously opposed, this adjustment reflects the extent of Russia’s strategic defeat.
Militarily, the loss of Assad threatens Russia’s presence in Syria, including its two vital bases—Hmeimim air base and Tartus naval base—used to project power in the Middle East and support operations in Africa. With negotiations underway to ensure the safety of its personnel and assets, there are indications that Russia may withdraw, marking a significant reduction in its regional influence and a blow to its military prestige.
Economically, Russia faces mounting losses from its involvement in Syria. Over nine years, supporting Assad has cost Moscow an estimated $27.5 billion, with annual military campaign expenses ranging from $1.5 billion to $3 billion. Additionally, Syria’s debt to Russia, reported at $525 million in 2022, adds to the financial strain. Russia’s business investments in Syria, including a $500 million pledge to develop the Tartus port and ventures in phosphate mining, have yielded little tangible return.
In sum, Assad’s downfall leaves Russia politically isolated, militarily weakened, and economically burdened, further complicating its broader geopolitical ambitions.
Don’t think so. I suspect when Russia saw what was brewing there, they forced Assad out of Syria to buddy up the new regime. How else could this have gone so fast?
Hell yeah
i understand political implications but don’t really understand economical hit.
If anything, Russia no longer need to financially support SAA and syrians with food and supplies
as for the port, it’s still unclear and subject to negotiations with the new government. and i don’t care about african corps either lol
Its for sure a loss, but lets not forget that Ukraine is a FAR better prize than Syria.
What does Syria really even offer to Russia except some Middle Eastern influence? If Russia succeeded in annexing Ukraine it would gain multiple warm water ports as well as a much larger population.
If Russia had achieved its goal of (presumably) annexing Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova it would jump from 10th most populous nation to 7th, alongside gaining large amounts of agricultural land and more natural resources in Ukraine (as well as strategic points like carpathian mountain borders).
Losing in syria to gain Ukraine is like losing 10p to risk winning £100.
Honesty, i expect the new Syrian gouvernement to keep doing business with Russia out pragmatism and the whole thing doesn’t change that much other than a loss of face. Russia is also trying to make friends with the Taliban, so why not here?
One question for Europe is how much are we going to seek good relationship with the new government in Syria (assuming that one forms).
https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/syria-brussels-viii-conference-2024_en
Seems like the rebel groups / terrorists will allow Russia to keep their bases. Unfortunately