What was once Russia’s strategic advantage, its size, has become its biggest liability. Protecting the entire country from cheap and effective long range drones is literally not an option for them, its basically impossible.
Most of Russia’s oil refineries are located in the European part of the country, this made sense for two reasons. 1) Most of the Russian population live in the European part of the country on account of the country being centralized on the European part of Russia. 2) It made it easy for Russia to export oil and gas to the EU.
Problem is it’s difficult to defend even the that part of Russia because it’s still massive in its own right, and it also borders Ukraine. Russia can theoretically defend the oil refineries with its air defense but even that can be overcome by simply oversaturating the defense grid and taking down those air defense systems. At that point it becomes a game of whack a mole, target oil refinery, Russia sends Air defense there, then target the air defense system (or other unguarded oil refineries in which case Russia sends AD to that oil refinery). Rinse and repeat, then Russia will eventually have an oil industry that’s defunct.
tldr: Ukraine is destroying Russia’s oil industry and there’s nothing Russia can do anything about it.
stormearthfire on
The frequency of these nightly raids seems to be increasing now. Hopefully this means drone production lines in Ukraine have hit critical mass
2 commenti
What was once Russia’s strategic advantage, its size, has become its biggest liability. Protecting the entire country from cheap and effective long range drones is literally not an option for them, its basically impossible.
Most of Russia’s oil refineries are located in the European part of the country, this made sense for two reasons. 1) Most of the Russian population live in the European part of the country on account of the country being centralized on the European part of Russia. 2) It made it easy for Russia to export oil and gas to the EU.
Problem is it’s difficult to defend even the that part of Russia because it’s still massive in its own right, and it also borders Ukraine. Russia can theoretically defend the oil refineries with its air defense but even that can be overcome by simply oversaturating the defense grid and taking down those air defense systems. At that point it becomes a game of whack a mole, target oil refinery, Russia sends Air defense there, then target the air defense system (or other unguarded oil refineries in which case Russia sends AD to that oil refinery). Rinse and repeat, then Russia will eventually have an oil industry that’s defunct.
tldr: Ukraine is destroying Russia’s oil industry and there’s nothing Russia can do anything about it.
The frequency of these nightly raids seems to be increasing now. Hopefully this means drone production lines in Ukraine have hit critical mass