Ukraine also plans to produce at least 100,000 155mm shells this year
there is the Nordic Nammo, whose production number have also increased, target was originally 200,000 by 2028 but the timeline has accelerated a bit recently
finally ,Rheinmetall plans 1.1 million 155mm shells by 2027, but it could bring up its production target faster if the government contracts it to do so
also, beware that companies usually have ramped up faster than expected, Rheinmetall itself mentioned it in its Q4 report
and if more funding is available ,the ramp up will be even faster
also, these are production numbers for 155mm artillery shells only
there is also 152mm shells produced in Romania, Bulgaria,Slovakia, and 122mm shells for howitzers
Bicentennial_Douche on
NAMMO is not listed….
NeverJoe_420_ on
Loving my Rheinmetall stocks! Just goes up and up and up.
DarrensDodgyDenim on
For the first 8 hours of the initial bombardment on the first day of Verdun, Germany fired over 1 million artillery shells.
Straight_Ad2258 on
further info
Ammunition Breakthrough: The Math Behind Europe’s Artillery Surge
In early 2024, the picture was bleak:
* U.S. supplies had ceased entirely, though they had delivered twice as much as the EU since the war began (2 million vs. ~1 million rounds);
* Europe struggled to scale up production;
* Ukraine lacked sufficient domestic manufacturing capacity;
* Russia was receiving massive ammunition shipments from North Korea (over 1 million rounds).
As of Q1 2025, things look very different:
The U.S. contribution now consists solely of pre-contracted aid from the previous administration — no new packages are on the table.
Europe has become the main supplier. Just yesterday, news broke that British defense firm BAE Systems is launching a new line in Glascoed, expected to boost output 16-fold from pre-COVID levels, with deliveries to Ukraine starting this fall (link).
Similar announcements have come from Germany’s Rheinmetall (major expansion underway) and Denmark’s Nammo, which is restarting a shuttered factory in northern Denmark to produce both small- and large-caliber rounds (link).
Currently, STV Group (Czechia), in partnership with Rheinmetall, can produce ~1 million shells annually. Nammo adds another 360,000.
In short: Europe is in a far stronger position than a year ago, though supply still hasn’t caught up with battlefield demand.
Projected capacity by 2026:
* BAE Systems (UK): 500,000 155mm shells/year
* Rheinmetall (Germany): 750,000 (with expansion to 1.1 million by 2027)
* Nexter-KNDS (France): 100,000+ shells + 96,000 casings via Forges de Tarbes
* PGZ (Poland): targeting 150,000
* STV (Czechia): stabilizing at 150,000
That’s a combined ~2 million shells per year — enough to support 5,000–5,500 daily rounds if all were shipped to Ukraine, especially when factoring in Ukraine’s own 152mm output.
For comparison: Russian firepower has declined. Moscow’s current rate is ~12,000 rounds/day — propped up heavily by North Korea, which now accounts for ~45% of Russian artillery supplies. The “Russian machine” is incapable of sustaining 2 million rounds annually on its own.
Back in Europe, this production surge is being powered by the EU’s ASAP (Act in Support of Ammunition Production) program — a blend of long-term offtake contracts and co-financed purchases of critical equipment (hydraulic presses, ovens, etc.). Yet key bottlenecks remain: explosive materials like TNT, RDX, IMX-104, and nitrocellulose for propellants. That’s changing:
* Rheinmetall Nitrochemie has opened a third nitration line in Aschau
* BAE is rolling out containerized RDX micro-factories across the UK and at the Holston AAP in the U.S.;
* Eurenco-PB Clermont is doubling output of energetic materials.
Together, these efforts could raise Europe’s artillery ceiling to 2.4 million shells/year by 2026 — but full impact will be felt only next year. Until then, every batch of explosives is still being carefully allocated across plants.Meanwhile, Ukraine is ramping up too. Since August 2024, a joint Rheinmetall-Ukroboronprom 155mm line has been operational, aiming to produce 80,000–100,000 shells this year. State-owned Artem and several private firms are scaling up output of Soviet-era calibers (152mm and 122mm).
In just three years, Europe has gone from “almost handmade” production in 2022 to output levels rivaling China’s. If projections hold, Europe’s annual 155mm shell production will jump from 250–300k to 2 million by 2026.
France is working in producing 250K per years by 2026.
We are already producing near 100k as of right now.
We also produce our own powder, I guess other do as well.
But the main thing is that France is only starting, we could do way more if (that can be a big IF) we invest more.
OffOption on
So how much of that can we throw Ukraines way?
I sure hope its not just a token amount.
tree_boom on
Where’s the figure for BAE from?
Trisyphos on
Meanwhile Czechoslovak Group not even in post…
2025 – 100.000
2026 – 300.000
SoftwareSource on
Am i the only one who read “Nexter-KIDS” and was like, damn France goes hard.
EVILNIN3 on
good, but we need MOOOOOORE!
Reprexain on
Also, bae systems are opening 3 new facilities onto that which will be itar free for making shells. Bae systems increased shell production 16fold also add in they’ve reopened m777s line and increasing barrel production
not_just_putin on
Looks far from enough. Over just 20 months north korea has supplied russia with at least four million artillery shells
Hillgrove on
.. is this a little or a lot?
Fantastic_Picture384 on
How much is this costing as I don’t see ukraine having the money to pay for any of this.
_LemonadeSky on
What can BAE do for fish though??
Armageddon_71 on
Isn’t KNDS half-french, half-german?
Cinerir on
That gets you through like a month of an artillery slugging match with Russia or so.
The amount of artillery shells expended by russian military doctrine is incredible.
But production is ramping up, and every bit helps.
I just wish we would have dialed up production already three years ago….we would be able to supply Ukraine with so much ammunition. As usual we are too slow, always waiting on big decisions until there is no other way.
25 commenti
source : [https://bsky.app/profile/conflictal.bsky.social/post/3lnkchny2gs2n](https://bsky.app/profile/conflictal.bsky.social/post/3lnkchny2gs2n)
more detailed : [https://x.com/Conflictal/status/1915293202292101324](https://x.com/Conflictal/status/1915293202292101324)
Slovakia is supposed to increase production to something like 350k shells
[Still not enough.](https://www.google.com/search?q=artillery+shell+production+russia&rlz=1C1ONGR_enCZ1081CZ1081&oq=artillery+shell+production+ru&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBwgAEAAYgAQyBwgAEAAYgAQyBggBEEUYOTIICAIQABgWGB4yCAgDEAAYFhgeMggIBBAAGBYYHjIICAUQABgWGB4yCAgGEAAYFhgeMggIBxAAGBYYHjIICAgQABgWGB4yDQgJEAAYhgMYgAQYigXSAQg4MzE2ajBqNKgCALACAQ&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8)
It’s a start, but we need to make more and do it quickly.
Rheinmetall goes Brrr
Curious how up to date it is. Just few days ago BAE announced a breakthrough that should allow them to increase the artillery shell production 16x.
[https://www.baesystems.com/en/article/major-breakthroughs-in-uk-munitions-production](https://www.baesystems.com/en/article/major-breakthroughs-in-uk-munitions-production)
the graph is missing some major companies though
Slovakia’s ZVS targets opened a new facility for 360,000 shells per year , altough ramp up timeline is unclear
[https://www.czdefence.com/article/the-czech-and-slovak-defense-industry-expands-production-capacity-for-large-caliber-ammunition](https://www.czdefence.com/article/the-czech-and-slovak-defense-industry-expands-production-capacity-for-large-caliber-ammunition)
Ukraine also plans to produce at least 100,000 155mm shells this year
there is the Nordic Nammo, whose production number have also increased, target was originally 200,000 by 2028 but the timeline has accelerated a bit recently
finally ,Rheinmetall plans 1.1 million 155mm shells by 2027, but it could bring up its production target faster if the government contracts it to do so
also, beware that companies usually have ramped up faster than expected, Rheinmetall itself mentioned it in its Q4 report
and if more funding is available ,the ramp up will be even faster
also, these are production numbers for 155mm artillery shells only
there is also 152mm shells produced in Romania, Bulgaria,Slovakia, and 122mm shells for howitzers
NAMMO is not listed….
Loving my Rheinmetall stocks! Just goes up and up and up.
For the first 8 hours of the initial bombardment on the first day of Verdun, Germany fired over 1 million artillery shells.
further info
Ammunition Breakthrough: The Math Behind Europe’s Artillery Surge
In early 2024, the picture was bleak:
* U.S. supplies had ceased entirely, though they had delivered twice as much as the EU since the war began (2 million vs. ~1 million rounds);
* Europe struggled to scale up production;
* Ukraine lacked sufficient domestic manufacturing capacity;
* Russia was receiving massive ammunition shipments from North Korea (over 1 million rounds).
As of Q1 2025, things look very different:
The U.S. contribution now consists solely of pre-contracted aid from the previous administration — no new packages are on the table.
Europe has become the main supplier. Just yesterday, news broke that British defense firm BAE Systems is launching a new line in Glascoed, expected to boost output 16-fold from pre-COVID levels, with deliveries to Ukraine starting this fall (link).
Similar announcements have come from Germany’s Rheinmetall (major expansion underway) and Denmark’s Nammo, which is restarting a shuttered factory in northern Denmark to produce both small- and large-caliber rounds (link).
Currently, STV Group (Czechia), in partnership with Rheinmetall, can produce ~1 million shells annually. Nammo adds another 360,000.
In short: Europe is in a far stronger position than a year ago, though supply still hasn’t caught up with battlefield demand.
Projected capacity by 2026:
* BAE Systems (UK): 500,000 155mm shells/year
* Rheinmetall (Germany): 750,000 (with expansion to 1.1 million by 2027)
* Nexter-KNDS (France): 100,000+ shells + 96,000 casings via Forges de Tarbes
* PGZ (Poland): targeting 150,000
* STV (Czechia): stabilizing at 150,000
That’s a combined ~2 million shells per year — enough to support 5,000–5,500 daily rounds if all were shipped to Ukraine, especially when factoring in Ukraine’s own 152mm output.
For comparison: Russian firepower has declined. Moscow’s current rate is ~12,000 rounds/day — propped up heavily by North Korea, which now accounts for ~45% of Russian artillery supplies. The “Russian machine” is incapable of sustaining 2 million rounds annually on its own.
Back in Europe, this production surge is being powered by the EU’s ASAP (Act in Support of Ammunition Production) program — a blend of long-term offtake contracts and co-financed purchases of critical equipment (hydraulic presses, ovens, etc.). Yet key bottlenecks remain: explosive materials like TNT, RDX, IMX-104, and nitrocellulose for propellants. That’s changing:
* Rheinmetall Nitrochemie has opened a third nitration line in Aschau
* BAE is rolling out containerized RDX micro-factories across the UK and at the Holston AAP in the U.S.;
* Eurenco-PB Clermont is doubling output of energetic materials.
Together, these efforts could raise Europe’s artillery ceiling to 2.4 million shells/year by 2026 — but full impact will be felt only next year. Until then, every batch of explosives is still being carefully allocated across plants.Meanwhile, Ukraine is ramping up too. Since August 2024, a joint Rheinmetall-Ukroboronprom 155mm line has been operational, aiming to produce 80,000–100,000 shells this year. State-owned Artem and several private firms are scaling up output of Soviet-era calibers (152mm and 122mm).
In just three years, Europe has gone from “almost handmade” production in 2022 to output levels rivaling China’s. If projections hold, Europe’s annual 155mm shell production will jump from 250–300k to 2 million by 2026.
source: [https://x.com/Conflictal/status/1915293202292101324](https://x.com/Conflictal/status/1915293202292101324)
France is working in producing 250K per years by 2026.
We are already producing near 100k as of right now.
We also produce our own powder, I guess other do as well.
But the main thing is that France is only starting, we could do way more if (that can be a big IF) we invest more.
So how much of that can we throw Ukraines way?
I sure hope its not just a token amount.
Where’s the figure for BAE from?
Meanwhile Czechoslovak Group not even in post…
2025 – 100.000
2026 – 300.000
Am i the only one who read “Nexter-KIDS” and was like, damn France goes hard.
good, but we need MOOOOOORE!
Also, bae systems are opening 3 new facilities onto that which will be itar free for making shells. Bae systems increased shell production 16fold also add in they’ve reopened m777s line and increasing barrel production
Looks far from enough. Over just 20 months north korea has supplied russia with at least four million artillery shells
.. is this a little or a lot?
How much is this costing as I don’t see ukraine having the money to pay for any of this.
What can BAE do for fish though??
Isn’t KNDS half-french, half-german?
That gets you through like a month of an artillery slugging match with Russia or so.
The amount of artillery shells expended by russian military doctrine is incredible.
But production is ramping up, and every bit helps.
I just wish we would have dialed up production already three years ago….we would be able to supply Ukraine with so much ammunition. As usual we are too slow, always waiting on big decisions until there is no other way.
👍