Questo grafico mostra nascite annuali per l’Europa e la Cina. Per la prima volta dall’inizio dei record, la quantità di nascite annuali in Cina sarà inferiore a quella dell’Europa entro questo decennio. Questo nonostante la Cina abbia il doppio della popolazione d’Europa.
https://i.redd.it/ojeugwm9950f1.png
di Safe-Drag3878
21 commenti
The population of continental Europe has never eclipsed China, according to historians. But now that will happen in this century.
Source: [https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:China_Europe_population_1000-1975.svg](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:China_Europe_population_1000-1975.svg)
[https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?time=earliest..2099&hideControls=true&indicator=Births&Sex=Both+sexes&Age=Total&Projection+scenario=None&country=OWID_EUR~OWID_AFR~CHN~Europe+%28UN%29](https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?time=earliest..2099&hideControls=true&indicator=Births&Sex=Both+sexes&Age=Total&Projection+scenario=None&country=OWID_EUR~OWID_AFR~CHN~Europe+%28UN%29)
Good news.
Should be the natural birth rate ie birth – deaths. That would be even closer.
The thing is, when the birth rates crash NOW, it will only matter in like 60+ years, once the previously higher fertiltiy generation retires.
Greedy companies
low income
women not wanting children anymore let alone a family, they rather chase the 1% rich guys and career and afterwards they are like biologically useless because they are over 30 years old when they want to settle down and cant get any children anymore.
yeah no wonder people have no children anymore. Men and Women both have different priorities in life.
The power of immigration and free societies.
(This is a call for continued sensible immigration, rather than one that is indiscriminate and too rapid to absorb by society and the labor market)
Wait CCP to start to force people to marry and to force women to have children ….. I would not even be surprised.
/e BTW: Force by using **coercion**, like alot of penalties if you are in a stable situation allowing reproduction, and alot of “benefits” (which are today common rights) if you made at least two children for the Party. Lovely children.
Man, the Chinese were getting DOWN in like 1960.
Why not just show birth per woman or some other metric which takes into account the population size?
And so it begins
China is probably not releasing the real numbers too. They really messed up with that one child policy
Holy shit the 1960’s drop god the horror of that number
Wow — what a middle class does to a place.
As countries develop and modernize, it is expected that the birth rate will decline.
from what I know many countries have the same problem and there are many reasons for that
The problems of rising obesity and falling birth rates that coincide with increasing GDP is unsolvable imo
How can a big authoritarian regime like china not get their people to have more kids? I’d assume they could easily pass some policies. Some things which democracies would take loads of time to vote through
Remember China is an authoritarian country and it is very likely that these birth rate numbers are not as reliable as they might seem
I don’t think the global population need to keep growing forever, but the sheer speed that birthrates are falling will really make the world… an interesting place when we who are young now get old.
I can’t see any way this won’t be disastrous for affected countries, which is almost every developed country on the planet. 1,7 and up might work, but places like South Korea that can’t even reach 1 will implode
Notably last year was the first year that birth rates in China rose – yet the cutoff misses that. Its only a minor increase, but does suggest that China can perhaps turn things around.
In Germany the former chancellor Kohl thought that people always want to have children. That was wrong. The birthrate is too low.
In China the elites thought that if they end the one child policy people will have more children again. That’s also wrong. One top the surrounding circumstances adjusted to a one-child only family. For example good education is very expensive means it is way more difficult with 2+ children. Another example is how real estate got build in cities. For singles, couples and families of 3. Working culture: Because of the one child policy it got normale for both to work full time and long hours which is doable with one child but gets harder with more.
Another factor is that the retirement in china is financed by your child means people wanted to get a son. In chinese culture it is normal that the son cares for his parents that includes his wife. There is some kind of saying in china that goes like: “A married daugther is like spilled water”. That even led to abortions if it was a girl. A big surplus of men mean less children in the longer term.
Socially it simply got normal to have 1 child in china. You can end a policy fast but it takes years or partly decades for mechanisms that evolved out of it to end.