Quanto è possibile l’unione pacifica tra Romania e Moldavia, dati i recenti sviluppi (dalla geopolitica alla politica)?
https://i.redd.it/ydr8uuyw3r1f1.png
di Dagua99
Quanto è possibile l’unione pacifica tra Romania e Moldavia, dati i recenti sviluppi (dalla geopolitica alla politica)?
https://i.redd.it/ydr8uuyw3r1f1.png
di Dagua99
30 commenti
Unfortunately, really unlikely, because the pro romanian romanians in moldova are leaving to western europe, while “pro-Moldova moldovans” aka older and less educated people stay inside
Too many hurdles, it’s not being taken seriously by either side. Having Moldova join the EU, and later Schengen would be best outcome we can get.
At this point? It`s almost close to 0…
for several reasons…
the closest way to “unite” would be if Moldova enters the EU.
BUT some territorial problems come with them. There is a somewhat large enough Russophile population, and so on.
and let`s not forget that i doubt Romania could fix the problems in Moldova right now… we barely survive our corruption and incompetence… add the Moldovan one (that is at a higher level) and i don`t think it`s going to be a good match…
It’s complicated.
From a human standpoint:
I don’t think I’ve met a Romanian that voiced his opposition to this happening. I did meet quite a few Moldovans that cited their need for independence being greater than the need for a union. I personally respect that, but I am a bit sad that we grew out to be so divided given the fact we speak the same tongue “Limba Romana” and share the same blood.
It would be a dream come true. After 81 years of forceful separation…
A start would be doing something about Transnistria.
Not anymore possible than it has been for 20 years.
It honestly all depends if the Transnistrians can be (independently) pacified by Moldova alone. If not, any union between Romania/Moldova will just be seen as imperialism by Gaugazia and Transnistria.
As long as the transnistria problem remains unsolved, a union is probably very unlikely to happen.
The status of Transnistria and Gagauzia is not really compatible with Romania’s constitution, as far as I know.
If these regions would lose their special status, would Russia try to “protect the Russian speaking population”? Who knows, but it’s something to consider.
Easily once Moldova will join the EU. But joining the EU is a tricky path especially when part of your country is occupied by russians
Neither Moldovan nor Romania is ready for this.
1. Moldova joins EU
2. Moldova joins NATO
3. Union can happen
Once they join EU and Schengen, we’ll no longer need a union.
Maybe both sides should ignore it. The Dutch and the Belgians are good at it. Nearly the same language. EU rules everywhere fore where it is important and local councils make sure police and firedepartments ignore the border when needs must.
It’s absolutely possible. This is what EU was made for.
When Moldova and Ukraine join EU, they will become a part of peaceful union with Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Slovakia, Poland, and all the other EU countries.
Bro Moldovan president is a Romanian citizen. Make your own bet
The Romanian position has always been it can happen if the Moldovans want it so when they want to I guess
Nicusor + Maia = LOVE
Moldova would have to give up the breakaways, but harder than this is convincing Romanians to agree to annex a poorer and less developed state that they would effectively have to bankroll while they themselves aren’t rich.
Do moldovans want to join romania?
It seems like more of a dream right now. Here in Moldova we have parliamentary elections coming up later this year. And I think the results will not be very good for the pro-EU parties. While it’s good to wave EU flags and make speeches about how great everything will be, the current government is so incompetent it’s hilarious. They are managing to make even the most diehard Pro-West, Pro-EU people I know think about voting for the other side.
Not that likely. The popular support for such an unification in Moldavia is, for now, only 30-40% (in Romania is 50-60%).
Also, there are some territorial disputes in Moldavia and most likely Russia wouldn’t allow such an unification that easy (Transnistria is a very pro Russia territory of Moldavia and Russia might have some military base on that territory, so, by doing such an unification it might trigger a military conflict).
Yet, we are still good neighbours and friends, we help them with what we can and we support their European Union ambitions.
I would say close to zero thanks to Transnistria. You would need a military intervention to kick the Russians out of there.
First step would be to have Moldova join EU and NATO.
I think this is a false thing and i think it is better if we do not unite, hear me out:
If both countries are in the EU, in Schengen and same currency (the euro) for the avg people(80%+) it’s basically the same. And this can be done within 10 years easily.
However we also gain one advantage by staying like this(split), we have basically two representatives in the EU for the same country (we share a lot of values and history).
So in my opinion, this (eu, schengen, euro) is more likely and in some ways more desirable for mostly the same effect…the only ones who i think want is those that care for tribalism practices (‘my tribe is the best’)
I think, seeing it from other countries, the economic shock will be huge, maybe even more for Moldova, in a bad way.
I would rather support Moldova’s ascension to the EU. The easiest way to unify the two. Everything else is just mindless nationalist blabbering.
The problem is that if it comes to pass it will reinvigorate the other movements for unification leading to a Balkan War:
Albania + Kosovo vs Serbia + Kosovo
Greece + Cyprus vs Turkey + Cyprus
Serbia + Montenegro
Croatia + Bosnia vs Serbia + Bosnia vs Bosnia
Bulgaria + Macedonia vs Albania + Macedonia
And besides if Moldova and Romania unify, Russia will call the EU a hypocrite and further double down on unifying with Ukraine.
Not gonna happen until they solve the Transnistria issue
I think it’s more likely than 10 years ago.
The obvious hickups are the lower living standard in moldova and the situation of transnistria.