La Russia costruisce missili da crociera di centinaia. Perché lancia così pochi?
https://united24media.com/latest-news/russia-builds-cruise-missiles-by-the-hundreds-why-is-it-launching-so-few-8644
di UNITED24Media
La Russia costruisce missili da crociera di centinaia. Perché lancia così pochi?
https://united24media.com/latest-news/russia-builds-cruise-missiles-by-the-hundreds-why-is-it-launching-so-few-8644
di UNITED24Media
18 commenti
Signs of degradation in capability hopefully.
Because main part of the “produced missiles” never was produced. And the rest of the “hundred’s” mostly stolen from factory, in parts or whole. its russia world.
As stupid as it sounds…probably preparing to attack the eastern flank thinking it might scare France and Co from retaliating with overwhelming force. a stupid move nonetheless.
My guess would be that the try to fill their stock in case something bigger happens like a direct confrontation with NATO, i doubt that they empty their storages completely with every attack i think its rather one for storage one for attack and so on.
There are only two real possibilities:
1. Production estimates are much too high.
2. Russia realises that an actual war with the West would require incredibly deep stockpiles and is trying to build them against that eventuality.
They are not producing as much is reported OR they are sending them straight to storage next to Finland and baltic border as they have been reported to do with T-90 tanks.
Brit intelligence have estimated Russia producing around 300 T-90 tanks / year and having 600 of them stored.
Russian production estimates are always incredibly inflated.
As a guy from General Dynamics once told me, “There is a huge difference between the amount and rate of missiles produced and the amount and rate of guidance systems for those missiles produced.”
My guess is that sanctions and lack of components are starting to work against the Russian industrial military complex.
It’s why they are buying prebuilt Shahed drones from Iran in bulk. Cheaper and already containing guidance chips.
Basically, they are reduced to having part of their offensive catered.
And they aren’t going to cannibalize their nuclear deterrent systems or redundancies.
So instead of overwhelming Ukranian missile defense systems, they pick and paw a dozen drones and missiles at a time.
They aren’t producing them by the hundreds.
Where are they building them? Like, specifically. Grid coordinates please …
Their recent high water mark was 350 drones and missiles fired to kill (checks notes) 12 civilians.
The math suggests the optimal number of drones and missiles used in this manner is, in fact, zero
It’s for when they decide to invade Europe
Because they dont have economically viable targets. For blowing up civilians they would throw bricks if it were possible. For important military targets they dont have either guidance capabilities or a way to securelly bypass defenses, so they are just burning cheap ammo against civilians.
If it’s setting out “components” or finished assemblies to be “seen,” or an agent under control is simply feeding “production figures” to Western intelligence, there’s a strong possibility of deception.
There are practical limits on what the Kremlin can actually do for want of labor, parts, reliability, etc. Trusting “data” *prima facie* without updating frameworks for evaluating the Kremlin’s common core “math” is how old Russia/Soviet hands got Western leaders into this strategic predicament to begin with.
We must all quit seeing what the Kremlin wants us to see and truly evaluate the narrative under the hood. Putin and the Kremlin use lies as their mainline defense for lack of the actual strategic depth to back claims that get more ridiculous by the day. Based on that read, everything they do today takes on a different lens.
It is clear that old game theory must give way. Today’s thinkers aren’t made for the poker table where gamblers like Putin play by bluff. Dealing with liars, cheats, and bullies doesn’t require one to be any of those things, but it does require familiarity with their tactics and having cultivated the tools to deal with them.
Russia might also lack target info. Bombing appartment blocks, schools, hospitals and kindergardens is easy, because their location is well known and you sure can find some not well defended. It won’t make Ukraine surrender though. Bombing powerplants became less interesting after loosing raffineries in return. Sure, Russia can deliver serious payload per month, but Ukrainian air defense is limiting the target options quite sucessfully.
They no longer have the parts.
Could we let them smuggle in manipuelated chips makin them missiles backfire!
I guess they need something to show in next years parade lol