Only 21% of stations reported. The absolute numbers this early on are not that relevant. What is relevant are voting patterns: how did urban areas vote, how did rural areas vote, how do already reported results compare to round 1 from the same stations.
With that being said, those also don’t seem to be looking too good
—
Update: Ipsos’s 1AM late poll that includes some official results predicts 51% for Nawrocki
capitan_turtle on
It’s typical since smaller stations are counted first, but the results still don’t look good
SlightComposer4074 on
This is mostly because the rural villages who support Nawrocki overwhelmingly report first, its not that damning. What is very damning is the recent exit poll that showed Nawrocki in the lead with a smaller margin of error.
Also note that not much of the abroad vote is in yet, the UK has by far the most registered to vote (almost 1/5th of all abroad polling stations) and they will likely vote strongly for Trzaskowski, and there are basically no results from there yet and other pro-eu countries yet. Since expat votes apparently aren’t taken into account in exit polls this could help Trzaskowski get out of what looks like a bad result.
ConstantineByzantium on
welp good luck to Poles?
you will need them
LegendarniKakiBaki on
Don’t freak out yet. The thing is, smaller voting stations and whatever bigger units they have get reported earlier. These are mostly rural. This pattern has been seen all over the place. It’s the big chunky boys we are worrying about. I’ll get nervous once we are between 75 and 80 % counted.
BugReport1899 on
When will the final result approximately drop?
Suspicious_Place1270 on
This is so misleading
IlustriousCoffee on
Well, that’s Poland down, next will be Italy, Germany, France and then Britain. Putin might see his dream come true after all
PlusCompetition9196 on
With all the things that Nawrocki has done, I cant fathom why people vote for him. Our country is going to shit..
Stabile_Feldmaus on
A politically blocked Poland, Putin will be happy.
erbatka on
well, it is time to emigrate the fuck out of this country
Urzuck on
If you know how pools works this is pretty much it, a gap of ten points is too big to recover even with only 23% of the votes scrutinized so far, i wish poles the best and hope they will not become another Hungary.
blingblattt on
Rafał was at 7.7% ahead not too long ago, most cities who predominantly voted him have not been counted. There’s still hope.. a slim chance of hope but, hope
BuddyBroDude on
its bc religious people always show up to vote. its that simple, for them only thing that matters is to “own the liberals”. they dont care how bad their candidate is. look at US
doggi3thedog on
I think that RT still has chances of winning. I might be wrong, so coreect me if I am, but aren’t smaller counties giving most of the results now?
Warsaw doesn’t have that many votes in yet, neither do other big cities. It will be close but no need for doomerism yet. We will see.
Eland51298 on
just kurwa mać
slopexplorer2 on
Anyone wanna take me in after today? I can cook nice Polish meals, plant flowers and I’m pretty
Cool-Psychology-4896 on
What the fuck is happening?
MyPinkFlipFlops on
God…
skamandryta on
Its over, more than 50% of the votes were counted.
24 commenti
We are so fucked
Only 21% of stations reported. The absolute numbers this early on are not that relevant. What is relevant are voting patterns: how did urban areas vote, how did rural areas vote, how do already reported results compare to round 1 from the same stations.
With that being said, those also don’t seem to be looking too good
—
Update: Ipsos’s 1AM late poll that includes some official results predicts 51% for Nawrocki
It’s typical since smaller stations are counted first, but the results still don’t look good
This is mostly because the rural villages who support Nawrocki overwhelmingly report first, its not that damning. What is very damning is the recent exit poll that showed Nawrocki in the lead with a smaller margin of error.
Also note that not much of the abroad vote is in yet, the UK has by far the most registered to vote (almost 1/5th of all abroad polling stations) and they will likely vote strongly for Trzaskowski, and there are basically no results from there yet and other pro-eu countries yet. Since expat votes apparently aren’t taken into account in exit polls this could help Trzaskowski get out of what looks like a bad result.
welp good luck to Poles?
you will need them
Don’t freak out yet. The thing is, smaller voting stations and whatever bigger units they have get reported earlier. These are mostly rural. This pattern has been seen all over the place. It’s the big chunky boys we are worrying about. I’ll get nervous once we are between 75 and 80 % counted.
When will the final result approximately drop?
This is so misleading
Well, that’s Poland down, next will be Italy, Germany, France and then Britain. Putin might see his dream come true after all
With all the things that Nawrocki has done, I cant fathom why people vote for him. Our country is going to shit..
A politically blocked Poland, Putin will be happy.
well, it is time to emigrate the fuck out of this country
If you know how pools works this is pretty much it, a gap of ten points is too big to recover even with only 23% of the votes scrutinized so far, i wish poles the best and hope they will not become another Hungary.
Rafał was at 7.7% ahead not too long ago, most cities who predominantly voted him have not been counted. There’s still hope.. a slim chance of hope but, hope
its bc religious people always show up to vote. its that simple, for them only thing that matters is to “own the liberals”. they dont care how bad their candidate is. look at US
I think that RT still has chances of winning. I might be wrong, so coreect me if I am, but aren’t smaller counties giving most of the results now?
Warsaw doesn’t have that many votes in yet, neither do other big cities. It will be close but no need for doomerism yet. We will see.
just kurwa mać
Anyone wanna take me in after today? I can cook nice Polish meals, plant flowers and I’m pretty
What the fuck is happening?
God…
Its over, more than 50% of the votes were counted.
Nice
[deleted]
Hahahah amazing!! 🫶🏼🫶🏼