> Ireland’s population could grow much faster than previously expected, according to new scenarios published by the Department of Finance.
> In a central growth scenario, the population would reach 6.7m by 2065 and in a low growth estimate it would be 6m.
> In a high growth scenario there would be 7.59m inhabitants by 2065.
> The growth in the population is expected to be driven by immigration.
Atpeacebeats on
Feels like the population is 20 million with every road and town crammed
PoppedCork on
A ticking time bomb for the HSE to make things even worse than they are now
obvious_stuff_hi on
Not enough housing as it is. Not enough doctors or hospitals. Roads are jammed.
We’re just going to end up with more Irish people leaving.
The people coming in are either very rich or very poor. It’s already a tough place for the lower/middle class to live but it’s only going to get worse. They/we seem to be forgotten. Reminds me of that old Tommy Tiernan joke about owning horses – I’m not rich enough or poor enough to live in Ireland!
Complex_Hunter35 on
On one hand we need more people to pay tax for pensions but then we don’t have housing
Ok_Magazine_3383 on
>In its report, the Department of Finance said: “If net migration was to fall to zero by 2035, Ireland’s labour force would contract from that point onwards, while the number of people ageing out of the labour force would continue to grow.”
>It adds: “The economic consequences of such a fall would potentially be very negative – posing major challenges for Ireland’s enterprise base, diminishing the capacity of the State to provide public services, and ultimately reducing living standards as a shrinking labour market constrains economic growth.”
>The analysis also highlights an issue as half of migrants with critical skills work permits are leaving the country within five years to work elsewhere.
Too much immigration bad, too little immigration bad.
Elbon on
Could also shrink, we could also have being conquered by the super seals and marsupial alliance.
ConstantlyWonderin on
“The growth in the population is expected to be driven by immigration.”
No, this shouldn’t be the way, if this is the way you are practically confirming the far rights theory of replacement.
How can folks who lived here all their life start a family if they are going to be in competition from people outside the country.
We need to look into making child care more affordable and to incentives families to have 3 or more children.
AnGallchobhair on
60% of skilled permit migrants leave after 5 years, while the largest driver of inward migration figures are family reunification visas. Square that circle
General_Z0 on
> The analysis also highlights an issue as half of migrants with critical skills work permits are leaving the country within five years to work elsewhere.
That’s quite interesting. I imagine they’ve just gotten as sick of the housing issue as everyone else has and decided Ireland just isn’t worth the trouble.
cedardesk on
Delighted we have the right two parties in power to plan for this and make it as seamless as possible. We should vote for them at the next election again, such is their proficiency to date in planning for and executing said plans for the future of the island.
MrTuxedo1 on
Ghost estates, high rise apartments and a bolstering of the construction sector need to be the main priority of the government for the future
SamBeckettsBiscuits on
If only we had a big island beside us and an even bigger continent with similar issues that transpired 10 years before that we could take lessons from
Evie4227 on
If I go into town now I’m hard pushed to come across another Irish person. All the people applying for jobs where I work are non nationals. All the doctors who treat me in hospital are non nationals. The kids in my friends sons class are all non nationals bar 4 of them. Starting to feel like an outsider in my own home. When I was in school it was huge news if someone new was from outside the county!!!!
Sciprio on
Anyone with a brain could see this years ago. The housing being built the last few years is not enough if your population is growing year-on-year. What has taken the UK decades is happening here pretty much overnight.
OrganicVlad79 on
I understand that many people come here and contribute positively and do the best they can but the population growth over the past few years is just too much. Our housing/services/infrastructure are at breaking point.
If we want population growth, we should do it more slowly by helping young people start families. We shouldn’t be trying to replace this with immigration
InterviewEast3798 on
Lets keep craming the country full of people and bury our heads in the sands when it comes to infrastructure and resources
Key-Lie-364 on
Meanwhile the NIMBYs will be able to sandbag every critical infrastructure project.
We cannot continue to do business as usual.
Imaginary-Taste-2744 on
Can we turn off the tap lads?
Just for a few years till we get ahead of ourselves.
Incentivise education in apprenticeships and tradies to come back from Australia.
We need to establish a government owned construction group.
its_brew on
Really interesting to read some of the comments and really good points made. I haven’t a clue myself so what I say doesn’t make a difference other than its my own thoughts.
De-centralisation and remote work needs a push. I dont believe ireland is full for one second. But Dublin sure is. Spreading everyone out and letting them live wherever they want, would give people a hell of a lot more choice and opportunity to have their own place.
I would say a discussion has to be had about the larger scale impact its having against the local Irish population. Without the whole rhetoric being “oh god you cant say that”. There has to be a point in time where we look at what’s happening and say when enough is enough.
Future_Jackfruit5360 on
I’d have kids to help out but the crippling debt i am in probably means I shouldn’t.
Narwhal_2112 on
Cut net migration to zero, the only viable solution.
Separate-Sand2034 on
With the low birth rate and housing crisis we’re heading for an economic cliff edge. How they could turn this around is almost wishful thinking
Ok_Magazine_3383 on
A few commenters saying “we need to increase fertility rates instead of relying on immigration.”
The is zero chance you can increase fertility rates by enough to not be heavily dependent on immigration. _Zero_.
Fundamentally, women in societies with high access to education, work, contraception, healthcare and welfare do not want to have children in the requisite amount. Investment in childcare costs or housing will slightly ameliorate that fact, but it won’t change it.
We have decades of worldwide research and real world implementation of pro-natalist policies. We _know_ they struggle to have anything but minimal impact, and we know that significant impact in this context would still fall _far_ short of the required amount to address the projected need for immigration.
Larrydog on
David McWilliams said this Government is too incompetent to manage a rapidly rising population.
I have to agree and they’re going to make a balls of it.
Miserable_Movie8006 on
Can anyone point to one european country that has imported thousands of migrants and has been the better off for it ?
Not to mention, we can not sustain the population we currently have in terms of housing …
GDP and employment figures are not the only metric to perceive the happiness of a country and its citizens.
26 commenti
> Ireland’s population could grow much faster than previously expected, according to new scenarios published by the Department of Finance.
> In a central growth scenario, the population would reach 6.7m by 2065 and in a low growth estimate it would be 6m.
> In a high growth scenario there would be 7.59m inhabitants by 2065.
> The growth in the population is expected to be driven by immigration.
Feels like the population is 20 million with every road and town crammed
A ticking time bomb for the HSE to make things even worse than they are now
Not enough housing as it is. Not enough doctors or hospitals. Roads are jammed.
We’re just going to end up with more Irish people leaving.
The people coming in are either very rich or very poor. It’s already a tough place for the lower/middle class to live but it’s only going to get worse. They/we seem to be forgotten. Reminds me of that old Tommy Tiernan joke about owning horses – I’m not rich enough or poor enough to live in Ireland!
On one hand we need more people to pay tax for pensions but then we don’t have housing
>In its report, the Department of Finance said: “If net migration was to fall to zero by 2035, Ireland’s labour force would contract from that point onwards, while the number of people ageing out of the labour force would continue to grow.”
>It adds: “The economic consequences of such a fall would potentially be very negative – posing major challenges for Ireland’s enterprise base, diminishing the capacity of the State to provide public services, and ultimately reducing living standards as a shrinking labour market constrains economic growth.”
>The analysis also highlights an issue as half of migrants with critical skills work permits are leaving the country within five years to work elsewhere.
Too much immigration bad, too little immigration bad.
Could also shrink, we could also have being conquered by the super seals and marsupial alliance.
“The growth in the population is expected to be driven by immigration.”
No, this shouldn’t be the way, if this is the way you are practically confirming the far rights theory of replacement.
How can folks who lived here all their life start a family if they are going to be in competition from people outside the country.
We need to look into making child care more affordable and to incentives families to have 3 or more children.
60% of skilled permit migrants leave after 5 years, while the largest driver of inward migration figures are family reunification visas. Square that circle
> The analysis also highlights an issue as half of migrants with critical skills work permits are leaving the country within five years to work elsewhere.
That’s quite interesting. I imagine they’ve just gotten as sick of the housing issue as everyone else has and decided Ireland just isn’t worth the trouble.
Delighted we have the right two parties in power to plan for this and make it as seamless as possible. We should vote for them at the next election again, such is their proficiency to date in planning for and executing said plans for the future of the island.
Ghost estates, high rise apartments and a bolstering of the construction sector need to be the main priority of the government for the future
If only we had a big island beside us and an even bigger continent with similar issues that transpired 10 years before that we could take lessons from
If I go into town now I’m hard pushed to come across another Irish person. All the people applying for jobs where I work are non nationals. All the doctors who treat me in hospital are non nationals. The kids in my friends sons class are all non nationals bar 4 of them. Starting to feel like an outsider in my own home. When I was in school it was huge news if someone new was from outside the county!!!!
Anyone with a brain could see this years ago. The housing being built the last few years is not enough if your population is growing year-on-year. What has taken the UK decades is happening here pretty much overnight.
I understand that many people come here and contribute positively and do the best they can but the population growth over the past few years is just too much. Our housing/services/infrastructure are at breaking point.
If we want population growth, we should do it more slowly by helping young people start families. We shouldn’t be trying to replace this with immigration
Lets keep craming the country full of people and bury our heads in the sands when it comes to infrastructure and resources
Meanwhile the NIMBYs will be able to sandbag every critical infrastructure project.
We cannot continue to do business as usual.
Can we turn off the tap lads?
Just for a few years till we get ahead of ourselves.
Incentivise education in apprenticeships and tradies to come back from Australia.
We need to establish a government owned construction group.
Really interesting to read some of the comments and really good points made. I haven’t a clue myself so what I say doesn’t make a difference other than its my own thoughts.
De-centralisation and remote work needs a push. I dont believe ireland is full for one second. But Dublin sure is. Spreading everyone out and letting them live wherever they want, would give people a hell of a lot more choice and opportunity to have their own place.
I would say a discussion has to be had about the larger scale impact its having against the local Irish population. Without the whole rhetoric being “oh god you cant say that”. There has to be a point in time where we look at what’s happening and say when enough is enough.
I’d have kids to help out but the crippling debt i am in probably means I shouldn’t.
Cut net migration to zero, the only viable solution.
With the low birth rate and housing crisis we’re heading for an economic cliff edge. How they could turn this around is almost wishful thinking
A few commenters saying “we need to increase fertility rates instead of relying on immigration.”
The is zero chance you can increase fertility rates by enough to not be heavily dependent on immigration. _Zero_.
Fundamentally, women in societies with high access to education, work, contraception, healthcare and welfare do not want to have children in the requisite amount. Investment in childcare costs or housing will slightly ameliorate that fact, but it won’t change it.
We have decades of worldwide research and real world implementation of pro-natalist policies. We _know_ they struggle to have anything but minimal impact, and we know that significant impact in this context would still fall _far_ short of the required amount to address the projected need for immigration.
David McWilliams said this Government is too incompetent to manage a rapidly rising population.
I have to agree and they’re going to make a balls of it.
Can anyone point to one european country that has imported thousands of migrants and has been the better off for it ?
Not to mention, we can not sustain the population we currently have in terms of housing …
GDP and employment figures are not the only metric to perceive the happiness of a country and its citizens.