Youre missing JA21 and FvD. Two quite major parties who combined with PVV now hold a larger share of sets than in 2023.
BkkGrl on
also an impressive 9% that did not vote last time
TheAmazingKoki on
IMO this shows how most people don’t really have strong political convictions. This was an issue in the last elections and also with things like Brexit. They don’t really follow politics, hear a few things that makes sense to them, and that’s enough to decide their vote.
Luck88 on
Sorry to break it to you but doesn’t this happen at every single election? We’ve had charts like this in Italian elections several times and usually excluding the smallest parties each of them gains at least a few supporters from each of the other parties. People change their minds, that’s why we hold elections in the first place.
Zwemvest on
This isn’t odd. D66 won, and those voters are coming from *somewhere.*
First, D66 in 2023 got punished for governing. *Regeren is halveren* and there’s no party for which that is so true as for D66*.* Those disappointed and dissatisfied voters are now returning to D66 now that they’ve been in opposition. D66 is in a perpetual cycle of winning->governing->losing->in opposition->winning.
It’s pretty well known that there’s a part of the electorate with no strong political affiliations where their vote mostly depends on whatever the last person who spoke to them said, or the first person they see from their own municipality. 40% of all people decide *on election day.*
Similarly, there’s also a large electorate who tends to vote for a potential winner or just wants stable government. No strong political conviction, just a strong belief that we should have a government that can cooperate. Broad overlap with the “whatever party keeps PVV out of power” electorate that’s also highly flexible.
There’s also an electorate that’s effectively single-issue voters. D66 won the debate on housing this time around, so they attracted people who *exclusively* vote on housing.
CDA also had 7% of their votes coming from PVV and 2% coming from BBB
PVDD had 4% of their votes coming from former PVV voters (the Hero Brinkman vote)
6% of all SP voters moved to PVV for this round, and 6% of all PVV voters moved to the SP for this round.
The sensible conclusion; if a party wins big, their votes all coming from all directions. If a party loses big, they’ll lose to a party that is ideologically close to them.
7 commenti
[Source](https://nos.nl/collectie/14006/liveblog/2588440-d66-en-pvv-nek-aan-nek-verschil-minder-dan-2000-stemmen#UPDATE-89864640)
Youre missing JA21 and FvD. Two quite major parties who combined with PVV now hold a larger share of sets than in 2023.
also an impressive 9% that did not vote last time
IMO this shows how most people don’t really have strong political convictions. This was an issue in the last elections and also with things like Brexit. They don’t really follow politics, hear a few things that makes sense to them, and that’s enough to decide their vote.
Sorry to break it to you but doesn’t this happen at every single election? We’ve had charts like this in Italian elections several times and usually excluding the smallest parties each of them gains at least a few supporters from each of the other parties. People change their minds, that’s why we hold elections in the first place.
This isn’t odd. D66 won, and those voters are coming from *somewhere.*
First, D66 in 2023 got punished for governing. *Regeren is halveren* and there’s no party for which that is so true as for D66*.* Those disappointed and dissatisfied voters are now returning to D66 now that they’ve been in opposition. D66 is in a perpetual cycle of winning->governing->losing->in opposition->winning.
It’s pretty well known that there’s a part of the electorate with no strong political affiliations where their vote mostly depends on whatever the last person who spoke to them said, or the first person they see from their own municipality. 40% of all people decide *on election day.*
Similarly, there’s also a large electorate who tends to vote for a potential winner or just wants stable government. No strong political conviction, just a strong belief that we should have a government that can cooperate. Broad overlap with the “whatever party keeps PVV out of power” electorate that’s also highly flexible.
There’s also an electorate that’s effectively single-issue voters. D66 won the debate on housing this time around, so they attracted people who *exclusively* vote on housing.
CDA also had 7% of their votes coming from PVV and 2% coming from BBB
PVDD had 4% of their votes coming from former PVV voters (the Hero Brinkman vote)
6% of all SP voters moved to PVV for this round, and 6% of all PVV voters moved to the SP for this round.
The sensible conclusion; if a party wins big, their votes all coming from all directions. If a party loses big, they’ll lose to a party that is ideologically close to them.
is the far right in the room with us rightnow?